The Colorado Rockies host the San Diego Padres on April 23, 2026. First pitch from Coors Field is scheduled for 3:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on COLR.
The Padres are favored by -155 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Rockies are +129 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 11 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Padres vs Rockies prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Padres vs Rockies Prediction
- Padres vs Rockies Pick: Manny Machado Over 1.5 Hits (+195)
My Padres vs Rockies best bet is on the over for Manny Machado's hits. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Padres vs Rockies Odds
| Padres Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -116 | 11 -110o / -110u | -155 |
| Rockies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -103 | 11 -110o / -110u | +129 |
- Padres vs Rockies moneyline: Padres -155, Rockies +129
- Padres vs Rockies over/under: 11 (-110o / -110u)
- Padres vs Rockies spread: Padres -1.5 (-103), Rockies +1.5 (-116)
Padres vs Rockies Probable Pitchers
| Matt Waldron, SD | Stat | Ryan Feltner, COL |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | W-L | 1-1 |
| 0.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | -0.1 |
| 14.73 / 4.79 | ERA / xERA | 6.00 / 7.02 |
| 6.14 / 5.23 | FIP / xFIP | 6.37 / 4.59 |
| 14.3% | K-BB% | 8.9% |
| 40% | GB% | 43.1% |
| .500 | BABIP | .283 |
| 98 | Stuff+ | 94 |
| 112 | Location+ | 99 |
Padres vs Rockies MLB Betting Preview
The venue is the primary catalyst for this projection.
Coors Field remains the most hitter-friendly environment in baseball, and Manny Machado of the Padres has historically treated it like a second home.
In 123 career games against the Rockies, Machado has slashed .281 with 132 hits with a knack for finding gaps in the massive Colorado outfield, and his recent history is even more telling: he has recorded 9 hits in his last 10 games against the Rockies.
Rockies starter Ryan Feltner has struggled mightily to open the 2026 campaign, carrying a 6.00 ERA into today's start. He has already surrendered 20 hits over just 18.0 innings this season.
Machado specifically got the better of him earlier this month, launching a two-run homer off Feltner on April 4.
The Padres' lineup as a whole has seen Feltner well, combining for a .359 career batting average and a massive .954 OPS against him. This suggests Machado will have plenty of protection and potentially extra plate appearances if the Padres can chase Feltner early.
Currently, the market is overreacting to Machado's current slump. Machado is currently hitting .182 on the season, which has driven his prop prices into premium territory.
However, PRO Projections look past short-term variance. Machado is coming off a 2025 season where he finished 9th in the MLB in total hits (169). A player of his caliber doesn't stay down for long, especially when visiting a pitcher he’s already tagged this season in the most hitter-friendly park in the majors.
At +195, the sportsbooks are essentially saying there is only a ~34% chance that Machado records two hits. PRO Projections, factoring in the altitude, the pitching matchup, and Machado's historical bounce-back rates, see that probability as much higher, hence the 12.7% edge.
Pick: Manny Machado Over 1.5 Hits (+195, bet365)
