The Miami Marlins host the Philadelphia Phillies on May 3, 2026. First pitch from loanDepot park is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on MIAM.
The Phillies are favored by -149 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Marlins are +123 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find our MLB picks and Phillies vs Marlins prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Phillies vs Marlins Prediction
- Phillies vs Marlins Pick: Trea Turner Over 1.5 Hits (+162)
Our Phillies vs Marlins best bet is on Trea Turner to get two or more hits this afternoon. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Phillies vs Marlins Odds
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +113 | 8 -112o / -108u | -149 |
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -136 | 8 -112o / -108u | +123 |
- Phillies vs Marlins moneyline: Phillies -149, Marlins +123
- Phillies vs Marlins over/under: 8 (-112o / -108u)
- Phillies vs Marlins spread: Phillies -1.5 (+113), Marlins +1.5 (-136)
Phillies vs Marlins Probable Pitchers
| LHP Jesus Luzardo (PHI) | Stat | RHP Chris Paddack (TB) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | W-L | 0-4 |
| 1.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.2 |
| 5.50 / 3.26 | ERA / xERA | 6.11 / 3.77 |
| 2.77 / 2.59 | FIP / xFIP | 4.47 / 3.93 |
| 22.1 | K-BB% | 14.8 |
| 49.5 | GB% | 41.9 |
| .352 | BABIP | .337 |
| 112 | Stuff+ | 91 |
| 100 | Location+ | 113 |
Phillies vs Marlins MLB Betting Preview
Action PRO projects Phillies SS Trea Turner for 1.66 hits in today's matchup against the Marlins, giving us a solid 11.4% edge against the market when compared to his current prop line of over/under 1.5, which is good enough to mark the over with a B grade in our system.
He has gone over this line in two of his past four contests, including a 4-hit game against the Giants last Tuesday.
Turner had a cold start at the plate this season, but a player of his caliber (.296 career average) was bound to bounce back, and he's heating up now.
This afternoon, he will face Marlins SP Chris Paddack, who sports a .337 BABIP. Plus, Turner has a severe split, doing poorly against lefties this season but excelling against RHP like Paddack, posting a .300 AVG and .444 SLG.
At a great value, let's back him today to go over his hits line against Miami.
Pick: Trea Turner Over 1.5 Hits (+162, DraftKings)
