The Minnesota Twins host the Philadelphia Phillies on August 16, 2026. First pitch from Target Field is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on MNNT.
The Phillies are -110 on the moneyline. The Twins are -106 on the moneyline. The total is set at 9.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Phillies vs Twins prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Phillies vs Twins Prediction
Phillies vs Twins Picks:
- Byron Buxton Over 1.5 Total Bases
- Byron Buxton Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
Phillies vs Twins Odds
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +146 | 9.5 -100o / -122u | -110 |
| Twins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -176 | 9.5 -100o / -122u | -106 |
Phillies vs Twins Probable Pitchers
| Andrew Painter (RHP, PHI) | Stat | Dean Kremer (RHP, MIN) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-8 | W-L | 2-4 |
| 0.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.1 |
| 6.27 / 4.91 | ERA / xERA | 5.25 / 4.23 |
| 5.10 / 4.62 | FIP / xFIP | 5.25 / 3.80 |
| 10.6% | K-BB% | 17.0% |
| 40.3% | GB% | 36.6% |
| .320 | BABIP | .248 |
| 101 | Stuff+ | 91 |
| 101 | Location+ | 95 |
Phillies vs Twins MLB Betting Preview
The Twins will host the Phillies on Sunday afternoon in the last of a three-game interleague set.
With Andrew Painter and Dean Kremer on the mound, I expect plenty of offense in this one.
Phillies vs Twins Pick, Betting Analysis
But I’m specifically looking to fade Painter. He’s 2-9 with a 6.27 ERA and 1.53 WHIP. He throws a ton of fastballs (33%), but the pitch doesn’t miss bats (12% whiff rate) and gets destroyed on contact (.415 xwOBA allowed).
Thus, I’m looking toward Byron Buxton, who’s making his third start back from injury.
Buxton is slugging .644 against four-seam fastballs this season, leveraging his steep attack angle (14 degrees) to crush four-seam fastballs.
I think this is a great matchup for Buxton.
Picks:
- Byron Buxton Over 1.5 Total Bases
- Byron Buxton Over 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
