The Athletics host the Pittsburgh Pirates on June 16, 2026. First pitch from Sutter Health Park is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SportsNet PT.
The Athletics are favored by -138 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Pirates are +118 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 10.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Pirates vs Athletics prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Pirates vs Athletics Prediction
- Pirates vs Athletics Pick: A's ML (-150 or Better)
My Pirates vs Athletics best bet is on the A's to win. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Pirates vs Athletics Odds
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -172 | 10.5 -122o / -100u | +118 |
| Athletics Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +142 | 10.5 -122o / -100u | -138 |
- Pirates vs Athletics moneyline: Pirates +118, Athletics -138
- Pirates vs Athletics over/under: 10.5 (-122 / -100)
- Pirates vs Athletics spread: Athletics -1.5 (+142), Pirates +1.5 (-172)
Pirates vs Athletics Probable Pitchers
| Mitch Keller (RHP, PIT) | Stat | Jack Perkins (RHP, ATH) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-4 | W-L | 2-3 |
| 1.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.6 |
| 5.14 / 4.98 | ERA / xERA | 6.25 / 3.65 |
| 3.89 / 4.42 | FIP / xFIP | 3.66 / 3.98 |
| 9.4% | K-BB% | 18.9% |
| 39.8% | GB% | 37.9% |
| .293 | BABIP | .333 |
| 93 | Stuff+ | 102 |
| 103 | Location+ | 106 |
Pirates vs Athletics MLB Betting Preview
Mitch Keller has allowed 29 earned runs over his past 30 innings. He’s most recently faced the Twins, Braves, and Dodgers, tossing four innings in each start while allowing 18 earned runs with 12 strikeouts to eight walks.
He now has to start at Sutter Health on a 90-degree day with 15-MPH winds blowing out toward left field against an A’s lineup that is mashing and should continue to mash (projected 120 wRC+ against right-handed pitching).
Also, three of the A’s top four hitters are lefties, while Keller has prominent splits (his K-BB drops by 4% against LHPs compared to RHPs, while his wOBA allowed jumps 40 points).
This feels like a potential disaster scenario for Mitch.
I don’t know much about Jack Perkins, but I know he has significant reverse splits. In his career, he’s running a 22% K-BB, 3.50 xFIP, and .275 wOBA allowed against lefties, compared to 9% K-BB, 5.20 xFIP, and .330 wOBA allowed to righties.
Considering four of the top six hitters in Pittsburgh’s lineup are lefties, and there are three more switch-hitters, this could be a really good matchup for Perkins.
Pirates vs Athletics Pick, Betting Analysis
I hope to survive the A’s bullpen and defense, but the Pirates aren’t much better in either department — their bullpen might be worse.
This could be a high-scoring, high-variance matchup, but I really like the matchup for the home side.
Pick: A's ML (-150 or Better)
