The Minnesota Twins (47-48) and Pittsburgh Pirates (38-58) will meet in the MLB this afternoon. First pitch from Target Field is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET. The game will broadcast live on MNNT.
Minnesota is a -140 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Pittsburgh is +120 to pull off the upset. The over/under is set at 9 total runs.
Continue below for my MLB betting preview and Pirates vs Twins predictions for Sunday, July 13, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Pirates vs Twins Prediction
- Pirates vs Twins pick: Under 9 (-120)
My Pirates vs Twins best bet is on the under, with the best odds currently available at BetMGM. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Pirates vs Twins Odds
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -175 | 9 -115o / -105u | +120 |
| Twins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +145 | 9 -115o / -105u | -140 |
Pirates vs Twins Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Mitch Keller (PIT) | Stat | RHP Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-10 | W-L | 5-4 |
| 2.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.8 |
| 3.58/ 3.84 | ERA /xERA | 4.08/ 4.23 |
| 3.40/ 3.99 | FIP / xFIP | 4.35/ 4.85 |
| 1.17 | WHIP | 1.32 |
| 13.2% | K-BB% | 11.0% |
| 45.2% | GB% | 30.2% |
| 99 | Stuff+ | 90 |
| 99 | Location+ | 103 |
Pirates vs Twins Prediction, Betting Analysis
Mitch Keller is expected to get the start for the Pirates, while the Twins are scheduled to start Simeon Woods Richardson.
Keller has a 3.58 ERA this season with a solid 16 strikeouts and just three walks in his last three appearances.
Evan Abrams' Daytime Unders with Efficient Arms bets the under in daytime games where solid visiting arms suppress scoring and the home offense is steady but not explosive: Day games (11:00–14:59 ET) often play slower due to sun, shadows, and shorter rest.
Regular season only avoids erratic postseason scoring.
Combined with lower totals and calm game tempos, this approach isolates a pocket where public expectations may overshoot actual output.
Pirates vs Twins Best Bet
- Under 9 (-120) via BetMGM
