The New York Yankees host the Boston Red Sox on June 5, 2026. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on YES.
The Yankees are favored by -150 on the moneyline and priced at +145 to cover the run line (-1.5). The Red Sox are +125 on the moneyline and -170 to cover the run line (+1.5). The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Red Sox vs Yankees prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction
- Red Sox vs Yankees Pick: Under 8 Runs (-105; Play to -115)
My Red Sox vs Yankees best bet is on the under total runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Red Sox vs Yankees Odds
| Red Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -170 | 8 -115o / -105u | +125 |
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +145 | 8 -115o / -105u | -150 |
- Red Sox vs Yankees moneyline: Red Sox +125, Yankees -150
- Red Sox vs Yankees over/under: 8 (-115o/ -105u)
- Red Sox vs Yankees spread: +1.5 (-170), -1.5 (+145)
Red Sox vs Yankees Kalshi MLB Odds
Red Sox vs Yankees Probable Pitchers
| RHP Sonny Gray (BOS) | Stat | LHP Ryan Weathers (NYY) |
|---|---|---|
| 6-1 | W-L | 2-3 |
| 0.9 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.0 |
| 3.06/4.38 | ERA / xERA | 3.52/4.00 |
| 3.52/3.77 | FIP / xFIP | 3.88/3.08 |
| 13.1% | K-BB% | 21.6% |
| 48.0% | GB% | 41.5% |
| .292 | BABIP | .279 |
| 101 | Stuff+ | 99 |
| 98 | Location+ | 110 |
Red Sox vs Yankees MLB Betting Preview
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
Early in the campaign, the decision to bring in Sonny Gray was catching some flak from the Red Sox passionate fanbase, as the veteran righty pitched to an ERA of 4.43 with an xERA of 5.41 across his first four appearances.
Since returning from a brief stint on the IL, Gray has momentarily quieted those criticizing his addition by pitching to an ERA of 2.00 across 27 innings.
Throughout his last five starts Gray also holds an xFIP of 3.42, has struck out 26.2% of batters faced, and been hard-hit 29.4% of the time. He's effectively sequenced his six-pitch mix and holds a Stuff+ rating of 103 in that span.
The Red Sox have played to a record of 12-14 over the last month and have hit to a wRC+ of 99 in that span. They also rank 26th with a BB/K ratio of 0.32 and hold the 12th highest soft contact rate. They do hold drastically better splits versus lefties however, as they rank 10th with a wRC+ of 104.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
After scratching out a 2-1 win in the series finale versus the Guardians on Thursday, the Yankees will attempt to continue treading water through what will be at least a month-long span without Aaron Judge, who was favored to win another AL MVP with a .908 OPS.
Spencer Jones has been recalled from Triple-A and will likely replace Judge in right field. Jones offers meaningful power, but has struggled to figure out big league hitting thus far, as he has hit just .167 and struck out 44.4% of the time across 10 games this season.
The Yankees lineup also remains without Jasson Dominguez; however, he will begin a rehab assignment Friday and is expected to be back late next week. Giancarlo Stanton is also drawing closer to a return but is not expected to be activated from the 10-day IL for at least another week.
The Yankees' excellent rotation undoubtedly gives them a leg to stand on if the offensive results dip as is expected during Judge's absence. New York's starters have pitched to an ERA of 3.07 this season, and Gerrit Cole has pitched to an ERA of 2.00 across his first three starts of the season, while Max Fried is getting closer to an eventual return.
Weathers may potentially lose his spot in the rotation if the Yankees staff is ever fully healthy, though he has had a strong start to the campaign in pitching to an ERA of 3.52 across his first 64 innings.
Aside from an ugly outing last time out at batter friendly Sutter Health Park, Weathers has remained in solid form recently with an ERA of 3.79 and an xFIP of 3.36 across his last six appearances. He holds a Pitching+ rating of 103 in that span, and struck-out 27.3% of batters faced.
Red Sox vs Yankees Pick, Betting Analysis
During his tenure with the Yankees, Sonny Gray struggled mightily at Yankee Stadium, which is a big talking point entering this high-profile matchup. However, Gray had his worst MLB campaign in 2018, and those stats don't carry significant predictive relevance entering Friday's matchup.
Gray has been in excellent form of late, and he should appear to have a solid chance of authoring a quality start in this matchup at Yankee Stadium with a Yankees lineup lacking arguably the best hitter in baseball.
Three of Weathers's 11 starts have been quite poor, but his underlying profile suggests his strong 3.52 ERA is legitimate. He made some mistakes and gave up a couple of two-run homers in Sacramento last time out, but his stuff still looked quite solid on a day where he racked up 10 strikeouts.
At -105, there looks to be value backing this game to feature under 8 runs given the recent form of both starters.
Pick: Under 8 Runs -105 (bet365, Play to -115)
