The Boston Red Sox host the Baltimore Orioles on Monday, July 20. First pitch from Fenway Park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on MASN and MLB.TV.
The Red Sox are priced as -142 favorites on the moneyline and by -1.5 (+146) on the run line. The Orioles are listed at +120 on the moneyline and +1.5 (-178) on the run line. The total is set at over/under 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Orioles vs Red Sox prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, Picks
- Orioles vs Red Sox Pick: Red Sox Moneyline (-142)
My Orioles vs. Red Sox best bet is on Boston moneyline at -142. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Orioles vs Red Sox Odds, Spread, Lines
| Orioles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -158 | 9 102o / -122u | +134 |
| Red Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +131 | 9 102o / -122u | -162 |
- Orioles vs Red Sox Moneyline: Orioles ML +134, Red Sox ML -162
- Orioles vs Red Sox Over/Under: 9
- Orioles vs Red Sox Run Line: Red Sox -1.5 (+131), Orioles +1.5 (-158)
Orioles vs Red Sox MLB Preview
Baltimore Orioles
The Orioles find themselves in a tough spot offensively in this matchup. They are squaring off against a talented left-handed rookie, and their team metrics show a clear vulnerability here—Baltimore is sporting a meager .381 team SLG against lefties this year.
On the mound, the Orioles are rolling out Shane Baz. The right-hander profiles as a highly hittable target right now, and he faces a steep uphill battle trying to navigate a hot opposing lineup on the road.
Boston Red Sox
Everything is coming together beautifully for Boston at home. The headline story is rookie pitcher Payton Tolle, who is flashing top-tier starter potential.
His underlying analytics are incredibly impressive:
- 14.2% SwStr% (Swinging Strike Rate)
- 31.4% Ball%
To put those numbers into perspective, Tolle is filling up the strike zone at a high rate while simultaneously generating a massive amount of whiffs—a rare and difficult feat for any pitcher, let alone a rookie.
Armed with an awesome four-seamer and newly developed cutter and curveball offerings, his only real Achilles' heel has been the long ball.
With just a little bit of home run luck, he is absolutely dominant. Looking ahead, he and Garrett Crochet are tracking to be an excellent 1-2 punch for this rotation.
On the other side of the script, the Red Sox offense has completely come to life.
Backed by a friendly home crowd, they get a favorable matchup against the hittable Shane Baz in this spot.
Orioles vs Red Sox MLB Pick to Bet
This is the ideal time to bet on Tolle and this Boston squad.
Expect Tolle to deliver six strong innings to shut down a Baltimore lineup that tends to struggle against lefties, while the hot Boston bats take care of business at home against Baz.
Pick: Red Sox ML (-142)
