The Los Angeles Dodgers host the San Diego Padres on July 2, 2026. First pitch from UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SDPA.
The Dodgers are favored by -198 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Padres are +162 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Padres vs Dodgers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Padres vs Dodgers Prediction
- Padres vs Dodgers Pick: Under 8.5 (-105, DraftKings)
My Padres vs Dodgers best bet is under 8.5 total runs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Padres vs Dodgers Odds
| Padres Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -126 | 9 -114o / -105u | +162 |
| Dodgers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +105 | 9 -114o / -105u | -198 |
- Padres vs Dodgers moneyline: Padres +162, Dodgers -198
- Padres vs Dodgers over/under: 9 (-114o / -105u)
- Padres vs Dodgers spread: Dodgers -1.5 (+105), Padres +1.5 (-126)
Padres vs Dodgers Polymarket MLB Odds
Padres vs Dodgers Probable Pitchers
| Randy Vasquez | Stat | Roki Sasaki |
|---|---|---|
| 6-6 | W-L | 3-5 |
| 0.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.4 |
| 4.44 / 7.04 | ERA / xERA | 4.88 / 4.59 |
| 4.79 / 4.90 | FIP / xFIP | 5.09 / 4.26 |
| 9.6 | K-BB% | 13.5 |
| 35.1 | GB% | 44.1 |
| .315 | BABIP | .274 |
| 98 | Stuff+ | 109 |
| 101 | Location+ | 97 |
Padres vs Dodgers MLB Betting Preview
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The Padres are coming off a 20-run loss to the Cubs yesterday. This shellacking was exacerbated by San Diego throwing its backup catcher in to pitch for two innings.
Ironically, Rodolfo Duran allowed fewer runs in two innings (8) than starting pitcher Walker Buehler did in four innings (9).
Credit is also due to Dansby Swanson for his three-HR game. Swanson has been on a tear over the past few weeks, with multi-HR games on back-to-back days, plus another on June 24.
The Padres essentially punted the game yesterday after Buehler's start. This was the wise choice, as it gave their top-ranked bullpen another day of rest.
San Diego has now lost five games in a row, with minimal hope on the horizon. Their starting rotation includes Griffin Canning, JP Sears and today's starter, Randy Vasquez. Competitive teams may have one of these fifth-starter types in their rotation to eat innings, but with three, the Padres are unserious.
Luckily, the offense has been improving in recent weeks. Led by Fernando Tatis Jr., the Padres rank fifth in wRC+ over the past two weeks. Tatis Jr. has a .307/.344/.491 slash line since the start of June, with four HR and a 133 wRC+.
The Padres will not only need this production to continue, but they'll also need Manny Machado and Jackson Merrill to match it in the coming weeks if they want any hope of a serious Wild Card run.
Either that, or the Padres need to sell the farm before the trade deadline for at least two starters.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
San Diego was not the only team to wave a white flag yesterday. The Dodgers allowed former KBO pitcher Charlie Barnes to throw seven innings in Sacramento's minor league park.
While his seven earned runs were not egregious, the outing signaled that the Dodgers were shifting their focus to this weekend's series against the Padres.
This roster is built and ready for another deep postseason run. They are also getting healthier. Teoscar Hernandez just returned from the Injured List this week, while Mookie Betts is finding his bat after an early-season oblique injury derailed him.
Betts since the start of LA's June 9 series against Pittsburgh: .329/.367/.565, five HR, 15 runs, 11 RBI and a 154 wRC+.
Meanwhile, offseason signee Kyle Tucker has posted a 130 wRC+ over the past two weeks. This offense is at full strength and potentially ready to burst at the seams when playing in sync.
Unfortunately, there are still injuries on the pitching side that may give Dodgers optimists pause. Tyler Glasnow is stalled in his return from the IL, while neither Edwin Diaz nor Blake Snell is expected to return before the break.
With Diaz and Snell having bone spurs removed midseason, there is also concern about their performance. Will they be close to 100% despite undergoing surgery in the past few months? Will they experience complications during a deep postseason run?
Those questions will be answered in the coming months, but overall, the Dodgers remain strong contenders for their third title in a row.
Padres vs Dodgers Pick, Betting Analysis
Roki Sasaki is a completely different pitcher at home. Beyond batted-ball luck, he has one of the more absurd splits among all starting pitchers this season.
- Sasaki at Dodger Stadium: 28.3% K, 8.6% BB, 3.50 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 3.39 xFIP
- Sasaki on the road: 18.2% K, 10.7% BB, 6.25 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 5.13 xFIP
Splits can often be misleading depending on sample size (especially early in the year), but we are halfway through the season. Sasaki has 36 IP at home and 36 IP on the road.
Meanwhile, opposing starter Randy Vasquez is somehow better on the road than in Petco Park's pitcher-friendly confines. His K-BB% and xFIP are not far apart, yet he has allowed 10 of his 13 HR at home!
While both the Dodgers and Padres played yesterday, neither utilized any of their high-leverage relievers. This was because their opponents combined for 30 total runs (23 by the Cubs). Both bullpens are fresh, among the best in baseball, and if either starter does struggle, there will be a short leash.
Both teams rank top five in wRC+ over the past 14 days, but they may cool off at the start of this rivalry weekend.
Pick: Under 8.5 (-105, DraftKings)
