The Chicago White Sox host the Seattle Mariners on May 10, 2026. First pitch from Rate Field is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on CHSN.
The Mariners are favored by -126 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The White Sox are +108 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Mariners vs White Sox prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Mariners vs White Sox Prediction
- Mariners vs White Sox Pick: Mariners ML (-130 or Better)
My Mariners vs White Sox best bet is on Seattle to win. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mariners vs White Sox Odds
| Mariners Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +132 | 7.5 -122o / -100u | -126 |
| White Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -160 | 7.5 -122o / -100u | +108 |
- Mariners vs White Sox moneyline: Mariners -126, White Sox +108
- Mariners vs White Sox over/under: 7.5 (-122 / -100)
- Mariners vs White Sox spread: Mariners -1.5 (+132), White Sox +1.5 (-160)
Mariners vs White Sox Probable Pitchers
| Logan Gilbert (RHP, SEA) | Stat | Davis Martin (RHP, CHW) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | W-L | 5-1 |
| 0.3 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.6 |
| 4.30 / 4.79 | ERA / xERA | 1.64 / 4.22 |
| 4.43 / 3.74 | FIP / xFIP | 2.45 / 3.18 |
| 17.8% | K-BB% | 20.7% |
| 36.7% | GB% | 38.6% |
| .322 | BABIP | .307 |
| 106 | Stuff+ | 91 |
| 107 | Location+ | 103 |
Mariners vs White Sox MLB Betting Preview
I don’t believe that Davis Martin can continue this dominant run he’s had to start the season. While his 1.64 ERA looks sparkling, he’s been bailed out by a super-high 88% strand rate and a super low 4.9% HR/FB rate. His batted-ball profile indicates a pitcher whose ERA should be closer to 4.20 (4.22 xERA, 3.92 botERA).
Logan Gilbert looks bad. We should all be concerned. But he’s still running a 3.74 xFIP behind an 18% K-BB and 106 Stuff+ rating. He needs to regain the feel of his full arsenal, but I am hopeful he’ll find his groove.
Mariners vs White Sox Pick, Betting Analysis
Ultimately, I’m simply hunting for reasons to fade the White Sox at this relatively cheap price. They’re playing better than they have in a few seasons, but the SouthSiders will still lose far more games than they win this season.
Aside from the starting pitching matchup, Seattle has significant advantages in the batter’s box and in the bullpen.
I project the Mariners as -135 ML favorites in this matchup, so this isn’t a massive edge, but I’m trusting that the team with more talent and a higher ceiling finds a way to grind out this win.
Pick: Mariners ML (-130 or Better)
