The Texas Rangers host the St. Louis Cardinals on June 1, 2025. First pitch from Globe Life Field is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on Roku.
After splitting the first two games, the Rangers and Cardinals will begin the Sunday MLB slate with a rubber match. The Rangers enter as -165 moneyline favorites with the game total set at 7.5
Find my Cardinals vs Rangers prediction for Sunday afternoon below.
Cardinals vs Rangers Predictions, Picks
- Cardinals vs Rangers pick: Under 7.5 (play to -7)
My Cardinals vs Rangers best bet for Sunday is the under on the game total. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Cardinals vs Rangers Odds, Lines
| Cardinals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -160 | 7.5 -115o / -105u | +140 |
| Rangers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +135 | 7.5 -115o / -105u | -165 |
Cardinals vs Rangers Projected Starting Pitchers
| Jacob deGrom (TEX) | Stat | Erick Fedde (STL) |
|---|---|---|
| 4-2 | W-L | 3-4 |
| 1.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.4 |
| 2.42/3.08 | ERA /xERA | 3.90/5.21 |
| 3.68/3.37 | FIP / xFIP | 4.43/4.92 |
| 0.96 | WHIP | 1.30 |
| 19.4% | K-BB% | 5% |
| 42.6% | GB% | 41.7% |
| 107 | Stuff+ | 91 |
| 115 | Location+ | 105 |
Cardinals vs Rangers Preview, Prediction, Betting Insights
Rangers Betting Preview: Texas Toast at the Plate
Even when things feel like they’re going right for the Rangers' offense, they quickly revert to mediocrity. Things have been at their lowest since May 15th, when Texas ranks dead last with a 61 wRC+ with a dreadful 25% strikeout rate.
The Rangers scored two or fewer runs in four of the past five games, with an 11-run outburst on Friday sandwiched in.
To further contextualize the Rangers' lack of hitting in that span, Sam Haggerty is their only hitter with a wRC+ better than 90. That's a pretty big disaster considering Corey Seager is fresh off an injury, and that puts extra pressure on his bat.
The other presumed go-to guys aren't holding their weight. Marcus Semien went 4-4 in the Rangers' 11-run outing on Friday, but he's still boasting a poor 563 OPS. Adolis Garcia is hitting just .190 in his last 15 games, Wyatt Langford is hitting .193 and Josh Jung has a .629 OPS in that span. Nothing is going well for Texas's lineup.
One of the few bright spots in a year filled with mostly lowlights is Jacob deGrom looking like a top-shelf starter. The multi-time Cy Young winner enters Sunday with a strong 2.42 ERA with a 3.08 xERA, but his 3.68 FIP is a tad worrisome.
The other potential concerns are his K/9, which sits at 8.81 with a 1.97 BB/9, which is deGrom's highest number since 2017. He doesn't need strikeouts to be elite, though. In his last outing, deGrom went 5 1/3 innings with two runs and zero strikeouts versus Toronto. That'll play.
Cardinals Betting Preview: Light on Walks, Lighter on Power
After a torrid start to May, the Cardinals' offense has come down to earth. Since May 10th, St. Louis ranks 16th in MLB with a 101 wRC+. The Cardinals' offense rarely punches out due to its contact-oriented roster, posting a 21% K-Rate in the last three weeks. Conversely, they rank 21st with a .140 isolated power and 29th out of 30 teams with a 6.4% walk rate. It's a very archaic approach these days to be so reliant on contact hitters and putting the ball in play.
The one thing that's gotten deGrom in trouble is walks, not hits. So, the Cardinals will need the BABIP luck in their favor.
They struggled to score against Jack Leiter and Patrick Corbin, tallying just three total runs in the first two games. So, the beginning of this series could tell you how the Cardinals' offense feels right now.
On the hill for the Cardinals is another veteran, Erick Fedde. In Fedde's last four outings, he had a two-start stretch with zero earned runs allowed, followed by nine runs in his next two.
What's the real version of Fedde? The truth likely lies somewhere in the middle. Fedde has a 3.90 ERA with a rough-looking 5.21 xERA and 4.43 FIP. It's no surprise that Fedde has poor underlying numbers, as he has a 5.63 K/9 and 3.75 BB/9.
The lack of strikeouts puts the game in control of the Cardinals' defense, instead of Fedde deciding what happens. The good thing is that the Cardinals' left side of the defense is one of the best in baseball, with platinum glover Nolan Arenado occupying third and Masyn Winn at shortstop.
Cardinals vs Rangers Prediction, Betting Analysis
Betting on the under for Rangers games at home has proven profitable, as the under is 24-7. This feels like the perfect storm for another under.
