The Washington Nationals host the New York Yankees on July 11, 2026. First pitch from Nationals Park is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on YES.
The Yankees are favored by -190 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Nationals are +160 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Yankees vs Nationals prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Yankees vs Nationals Prediction
- Yankees vs Nationals Pick: Under 9
My Yankees vs Nationals best bet is on the Under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Yankees vs Nationals Odds
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -114 | 9 -110o / -110u | -190 |
| Nationals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -105 | 9 -110o / -110u | +160 |
- Yankees vs Nationals moneyline: Yankees -190, Nationals +160
- Yankees vs Nationals over/under: 9 (-110 / +110)
- Yankees vs Nationals spread: Yankees -1.5 (-114), Nationals +1.5 (-105)
Yankees vs Nationals Probable Pitchers
| Cam Schlittler (RHP, NYY) | Stat | Miles Mikolas (RHP, WSN) |
|---|---|---|
| 9-5 | W-L | 3-7 |
| 3.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | -0.6 |
| 2.01 / 2.94 | ERA / xERA | 5.78 / 4.95 |
| 2.58 / 2.95 | FIP / xFIP | 5.52 / 4.63 |
| 24.9% | K-BB% | 8.1% |
| 42.6% | GB% | 43.8% |
| .264 | BABIP | .275 |
| 111 | Stuff+ | 90 |
| 105 | Location+ | 110 |
Yankees vs Nationals MLB Betting Preview
This game triggered one of our Action PRO betting systems, powered by Evan Abrams:
When the wind blows in at over five MPH, fly balls lose carry, and home run rates drop significantly.
This system targets unders in these conditions with totals between six and 11.
It’s a sharp weather-based angle that exploits environmental factors often underweighted in line-setting but that heavily affect scoring outcomes.
Yankees vs Nationals Pick, Betting Analysis
The wind is projected to be blowing in from left field during game time, which hopefully helps the dreadful Miles Mikolas manage the Bronx Bombers.
Luckily for Mikolas, the Yankees' lineup hasn't been doing much without Aaron Judge.
Meanwhile, Cam Schlittler has been one of the best pitchers in baseball this season, and I'm ready to bank on him contributing significantly in a lower-scoring ballgame.
Pick: Under 9
