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Thursday MLB NRFI Odds, Expert Pick & Prediction: First-Inning Kings Take Mound for Marlins vs. Phillies (September 8)

Thursday MLB NRFI Odds, Expert Pick & Prediction: First-Inning Kings Take Mound for Marlins vs. Phillies (September 8) article feature image

Brett Davis/Getty Images. Pictured: Miami Marlins player Brian Anderson

Shayne Trail breaks down his favorite NRFI/YRFI bet of the day below, but you can follow all of his bets in the Action Network app.

No Runs First Inning (-145)

MatchupS. Alcantara (Marlins) vs. K. Gibson (Phillies)
First Pitch6:45 p.m. ET
Best LineDraftKings

On Thursday, we had to Citizens Bank Park to find value in an NRFI between two National League East rivals: the Philadelphia Phillies in the Miami Marlins.

The Phillies will send out Kyle Gibson. Coming into today, Gibson is 22-4 to the NRFI with a 13-2 home NRFI split. In 105 batters faced in the first inning, he has issued only seven walks, displaying great control early on. As we all know, walks can kill an NRFI.

Here is how Gibson has done in the past against some of these Marlins hitters:

  • Bryan De La Cruz: 0-for-6
  • Garrett Cooper: 1-for-7
  • Avisail Garcia: 5-for-34
  • J.J. Bleday: 0-for-3

Brian Anderson is one of the Marlins' better hitters after some midseason trades. Coming into today, though, he is struggling at the plate, going 2-for-15 in his last 17 at-bats. He is expected to bat second today.

To no surprise, the Marlins are the worst team in the MLB when it comes to achieving a YRFI on the road. They NRFI on the road 87% of the time and are riding a hot 8-2 NRFI streak.

The Marlins will counter with their ace and Cy Young candidate: Sandy Alcantara.

Coming into today, Alcantara is 22-5 to the NRFI with an 11-2 road NRFI split. When facing batters the first time through the order, he has dominated: He's allowed only 38 hits in 224 at-bats, which is good for a .170 average.

Here is how Alcantara has matched up in the past against some of these Phillies batters:

  • Rhys Hoskins: 6-for-35
  • Alec Bohm: 3-for-11
  • JT Realmuto: 9-for-27

Some of these Phillies hitters are struggling in the past week, and it should be noted. Bryce Harper is just 3-for-17 in his last 21 at-bats. Following him are Rhys Hoskins and Kyle Schwarber, who are both 4-for-20 in their last 24 at-bats.

Bet on these two 20-plus-win NRFI pitchers to have a three-up, three-down first inning. Take the NRFI between the Marlins and the Phillies.

As always, six outs to glory.

For all of Shayne Trail's favorite NRFI/YRFI bets, follow him in the Action Network app.

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