Tuesday MLB Props, PrizePicks Plays: Target Unders on Athletics Hitters Against Carlos Rodon (April 26)
Mark Blinch/Getty Images. Pictured: Jed Lowrie
Player props have become among the most popular bets in the industry, but while the amount of states with legalized gambling is growing, some may feel left out.
Enter: PrizePicks.
With PrizePicks, you get the opportunity to essentially parlay game prop over/unders with cash payouts depending on how many you get correct on that day’s slate.
Therefore, let’s take a look at some of the options on today’s Major League Baseball slate and see where we can find some value to turn a profit.
A quick refresher if you aren’t familiar with PrizePicks: you can combine up to five different O/U player props to payout up to 10x your wager.
You can do a Flex Play or a Power Play. A Flex Play gives you lesser odds, but you can win money even if you don’t nail every pick. Meanwhile, a Power Play is similar to a parlay — it’s all or nothing.
Here’s how I would approach today’s slate in Major League Baseball.
What is PrizePicks? A daily fantasy operator — meaning they’re available in more states (30) than sports betting is! — PrizePicks offers a unique opportunity for action on player props in which you parlay two or more plays together.
MLB PrizePicks Plays for Tuesday, April 26th
Elvis Andrus Hitter Fantasy Score Under 4.5
We have the first matchup of a two-game set as the Oakland Athletics travel to San Francisco to take on the Giants. I will be fading a few Athletics hitters as they are slated to go against left-hander Carlos Rodon.
Rodon has been spectacular to start the season as he is 2-0 with a 1.06 ERA and 0.82 WHIP. His metrics are somehow even stronger as he boasts a .219 xwOBA, .144 xBA and .238 xSLG.
In 14 career plate appearances against Rodon, Andrus has just one single. Andrus has failed to go over this fantasy score total in four straight games and he should be a good fade candidate once again.
Tony Kemp Hitter Fantasy Score Under 4.5
The other Oakland hitter I am fading in this matchup is Tony Kemp, who has now gone under this fantasy score total in two of his last games. Kemp has never faced Rodon in his career and it could take a few ABs for Kemp to get comfortable against him.
This season, Kemp possesses a mere .256 xBA and has particularly struggled against left-handers this season. Through 18 plate appearances against left-handers, Kemp possesses a .250 BA, .333 OBP and .250 SLG.
Tony Gonsolin Pitcher Fantasy Score Over 25.5
We have the second matchup of this three-game NL West series as the Los Angeles Dodgers take on the Arizona Diamondbacks. Monday night, Walker Buehler threw a complete game shutout against Arizona and Gonsolin should be able to dominate them as well.
Gonsolin has been stellar this season so far as he is 1-0 through three starts with a 0.69 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. This success should continue against a Diamondbacks lineup that has not fared well against Gonsolin in the past.
Through 64 career plate appearances against Gonsolin, this current Diamondbacks roster possesses a mere .183 BA, .317 SLG and .239 wOBA. Arizona has been awful against right-handed pitchers this season as it ranks just 29th in the league in BA, 24th in wOBA, 23rd in SLG and 25th in OPS.
C.J. Cron Under 0.5 Runs + RBIs
We have the second matchup of a four-game series between the Colorado Rockies and Philadelphia Phillies. Philadelphia won the first matchup 8-2 in a game where the Rockies did not get anything going offensively, and I will be fading them again in this game as they are slated to go against right-hander Zach Eflin.
Eflin has gotten off to a good start this season through three starts as he possesses a .293 xwOBA, .254 xBA and .381 xSLG. Cron has gone under this run total in three of his last four games.
Against right-handers this season, Cron's numbers take a dip as he possesses a .250 BA and .275 OBP. Through six career plate appearances against Eflin, Cron is just 1-for-6 with a single.
Connor Joe Under 1.5 Hits + Walks
The other Colorado hitter I am fading in this game is Connor Joe, who has gone under this total in four of his last five games. Joe has never faced Eflin in his career and It may take a few ABs for Joe to get comfortable.
While Joe has gotten off to an incredible start this season, there is just too much value in the under of this total to pass up. While he is still good against right-handed pitchers, his batting average does drop to .289 this season which is much lower than his batting average against left-handers.
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