The Arizona Diamondbacks host the Washington Nationals on June 7, 2026. First pitch from Chase Field is scheduled for 3:15 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on Peacock.
The Diamondbacks are favored by -160 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Nationals are +135 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Nationals vs Diamondbacks prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Nationals vs Diamondbacks Prediction
- Nationals vs Diamondbacks Pick: F5 Under 4.5 (-120, bet365) | Play to 4
My Nationals vs Diamondbacks best bet is the first five under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Nationals vs Diamondbacks Odds
| Nationals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -150 | 9 -105o / -115u | +135 |
| Diamondbacks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +125 | 9 -105o / -115u | -160 |
- Nationals vs Diamondbacks moneyline: Nationals +135, Diamondbacks -160
- Nationals vs Diamondbacks over/under: 9 (-105o / -115u)
- Nationals vs Diamondbacks spread: Nationals +1.5 (-150), Diamondbacks -1.5 (+125)
Nationals vs Diamondbacks Probable Pitchers
| RHP Cade Cavalli (WSN) | Stat | RHP Michael Soroka (ARI) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-3 | W-L | 7-3 |
| 1.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.6 |
| 3.62/3.97 | ERA / xERA | 3.49/4.09 |
| 2.99/3.77 | FIP / xFIP | 2.95/3.47 |
| 17.2% | K-BB% | 18.2% |
| 47.3% | GB% | 38.9% |
| .361 | BABIP | .316 |
| 102 | Stuff+ | 94 |
| 95 | Location+ | 107 |
Nationals vs Diamondbacks MLB Betting Preview
The market has given us all the indicators we need to determine which angle you should take in this matchup. It all starts with the two men on the mound, Cade Cavalli and Michael Soroka.
Cavalli and Soroka are two of the biggest positive regression candidates on the slate, as their FIPs of 2.93 and 2.97, respectively, tell the real story of how effective each of them has been.
For Soroka, his big improvement this year has been his command. His Location+ is up to 107 from 97 last year. So, while his stuff has remained average, spotting it better and throwing more strikes overall has led to teams either working from behind in the count or having to swing at pitches just outside the zone, as his chase rate is elite.
As for Cavalli, we've finally begun to see why he was such a highly-touted prospect for years. His stuff is tremendous, and we've seen a massive jump in the effectiveness of his slider.
Last year, it was well below-average pitch with a Stuff+ rating of 84, but this season it's at 116. It's become his best weapon and helped him produce an elite CSW.
I mentioned the market movement above; well, everything I've seen has been in support of these two excellent starters. The full game total has fallen from 8.5, and both have received support in their outs props markets, with both pointing towards them dueling into the sixth inning.
With that being the case, I'm going to back them to minimize scoring in the first half of this matchup and that the first five under.
Pick: F5 Under 4.5 (-120, bet365) | Play to 4
