The New York Yankees host the Pittsburgh Pirates on July 22, 2026. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SportsNet PT.
The Yankees are favored by -168 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Pirates are +142 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Pirates vs Yankees prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Pirates vs Yankees Prediction
- Pirates vs Yankees Pick: Under 8.5
My Pirates vs Yankees best bet is on the Under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Pirates vs Yankees Odds
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -150 | 8.5 -124o / 102u | +142 |
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +125 | 8.5 -124o / 102u | -168 |
- Pirates vs Yankees moneyline: Pirates +142, Yankees -168
- Pirates vs Yankees over/under: 8.5 (-124 / +102)
- Pirates vs Yankees spread: Yankees -1.5 (+125), Pirates +1.5 (-150)
Pirates vs Yankees Game 2 Kalshi MLB Odds
Pirates vs Yankees Probable Pitchers
| Bubba Chandler (RHP, PIT) | Stat | Max Fried (LHP, NYY) |
|---|---|---|
| 3-8 | W-L | 4-3 |
| 1.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.9 |
| 4.77 / 4.14 | ERA / xERA | 3.21 / 2.63 |
| 4.59 / 5.12 | FIP / xFIP | 2.71 / 3.93 |
| 7.1% | K-BB% | 12.9% |
| 38.0% | GB% | 48.8% |
| .271 | BABIP | .250 |
| 104 | Stuff+ | 106 |
| 100 | Location+ | 101 |
Pirates vs Yankees MLB Betting Preview
This game triggered one of our Action PRO betting systems, powered by Evan Abrams:
This system targets Unders in interleague games where both teams are winning clubs, and the market sets a modest total between seven and 10 runs.
The setup leverages:
- Solid teams (49–100% win rate) facing unfamiliar lineups and pitchers.
- Later-season matchups (game 22+), when teams settle into pitching rhythms.
- Home teams favored (moneyline -260 to -110), suggesting stronger bullpens.
- Undervalued run suppression due to lack of offensive familiarity
The result: profitable unders in tighter, more disciplined matchups between quality teams with limited recent exposure to each other.
Pick: Under 8.5
