Marky’s Wednesday Forecast: Rain Threatening Braves-Nationals Game

Aug 08, 2018 3:25 PM EDT
  • Just eight games are on the 7 p.m. slate tonight, but most feature above-average hitting conditions.
  • Athletics batters won't get any help from Mother Nature against Clayton Kershaw.
  • The highest chance of a delay is in Washington D.C., which could cause some daily fantasy sports players to rethink starting Mike Foltynewicz.

The three top-rated games did end up redeeming themselves yesterday, restoring my faith in humanity, baseball and the dear eight-pound, six-ounce newborn baby Jesus.

All three games went over and there was a combined 43 runs scored. Tonight’s short slate is Coors and Texas-less, so we’re without elite ratings. However, there’s still some nice hitting conditions throughout the nation.

Our Weather Rating distills the hitter-friendliness for a particular game into one number. It is a proprietary Fantasy Labs model and shown on a scale of 0 to 100. The Weather Rating does not account for potential rainouts; rather, it simply examines all relevant atmospheric conditions (temperature, altitude, wind speed, humidity, and so on) to determine how batted-ball distance will be impacted.

Highest Weather Ratings

  • Braves at Nationals: 71
  • Red Sox at Blue Jays: 67*
  • Twins at Indians: 65
  • Cubs at Royals: 62

Topping the charts is the divisional showdown in Washington D.C., where Mike Foltynewicz will take on Tommy Milone. Hot and humid conditions with winds blowing to right/right-center will help hitters, but there’s a catch. More on that in a bit.


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The game in Toronto will also feature some nice conditions if the roof stays open. Right now, that’s not a guarantee, so keep your eyes posted to the @FantasyLabsMLB feed for any updates.

Cleveland, like Washington, has a bit of a risk/reward scenario going on. A wee bit. More than 70% of bettors have taken over 9 in a game that will feature Jake Odorizzi and Mike Clevinger … and perhaps some of the Lord’s tears.

Lowest Weather Ratings

  • Dodgers at Athletics: 39
  • Cardinals at Marlins: 48*

We have a Clayton Kershaw sighting in Oakland tonight, where the conditions will be favorable for pitchers. Mike Fiers will make his Athletics debut and total bets are split with almost no movement whatsoever on the over/under of 7.5.


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As was the case with Toronto, the roof might end up closed in Miami. The massive change from 48 to 50 will surely cause a frenzy at sportsbooks and cause folks to completely rethink and overhaul their rosters for tonight.

Rain

Fewer games = less chances of rain. There are still a couple parks that aren’t entirely in the clear.

  • Braves at Nationals: There are some storms in the forecast, but it doesn’t appear that they’ll begin until the 8 p.m. ET hour. With isolated storms, it’s tough to pinpoint a time and there’s also a chance they don’t hit at all, but if they come when forecasted, a lengthy delay could cut Foltynewicz’s start short.

There’s also a shot at some showers/storms in Cleveland, which has had some rain risks all week.

Credit:

Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Mike Foltynewicz

Follow Mark Gallant on Twitter
@marky_money

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