Wednesday MLB NRFI Betting Odds & Prediction: Value on Aaron Nola & Carlos Rodon In First Inning

Wednesday MLB NRFI Betting Odds & Prediction: Value on Aaron Nola & Carlos Rodon In First Inning article feature image

Via Todd Kirkland/Getty Images. Pictured: Aaron Nola.

  • Our NRFI analyst is fading both offenses in Giants-Phillies in the first inning.
  • With both lineups struggling and aces on the mound, there's value to be found early in this matchup.
  • Check out Shayne Trail's pick and analysis below.

Shayne Trail breaks down his favorite NRFI/YRFI bet of the day below, but you can follow all of his bets in the Action Network app.

Giants vs. Phillies No Runs First Inning (-114)

MatchupGiants (Rodon) vs. Phillies (Nola)
First Pitch6:05 p.m. ET
Best LineFanDuel

On Wednesday, we head to Citizens Bank Park to take a NRFI between two National League teams – the Phillies and the Giants.

Aaron Nola is a terrific NRFI pitcher with an 8-1 NRFI record in 2022. Since the 2019 season, Nola is 36-8 to the NRFI at home, including 5-0 at home this season. Against 37 first-inning batters, Nola has only allowed two walks and eight hits while holding hitters the first time through the lineup to a .169 average.

Here is how the Giants hitters have fared against Nola in the past:

  • Brandon Crawford: 3-for-12
  • Joc Pederson: 4-for-15
  • Wilmer Flores: 2-for-7
  • Mike Yastrzemski: 3-for-5

It should be noted leadoff hitter Tommy La Stella is projected to bat first today and is hitting just 3-for-19 (.158) over the last week. Furthermore, since May 15th, the Giants have struggled to hit in first innings as they have had three hits in 21 first-inning plate appearances over that span.

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Carlos Rodon has lived up to the hype after leaving the White Sox to join the Giants and has an 8-1 record to the NRFI in 2022. This success comes as no surprise as Rodon is now 28-8 since the 2020 season across both teams. With high-velocity pitchers, accuracy early on can be an issue, but not with Rodon. Against 37 first-inning batters this season, he has only issued two walks.

The Phillies have a large number of hitters slumping with batting averages below .200 in the last week:

Rhys Hoskins: 5-for-27 (.185)
Jean Segura: 5-for-27 (.185)
Alec Bohm: 5-for-30 (.167)
Kyle Schwarber: 2-for-25 (.080)

Since May 15th, the Phillies are the 29th-ranked the first-inning hitting team in the majors with a .167 average over 50 plate appearances.

Coming off a NRFI in their last matchup, look for these pitchers to continue their NRFI success against these two slumping lineups.

As always, six outs to glory…

Get all of Shayne Trail's NRFI/YRFI bets instantly in The Action Network app.

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