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Wednesday MLB NRFI Odds, Pick, Prediction: Back to the Well in Giants-Mets

Wednesday MLB NRFI Odds, Pick, Prediction: Back to the Well in Giants-Mets article feature image
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Getty Images. Pictured: San Francisco Giants pitcher Carlos Rodón.

Shayne Trail breaks down his favorite NRFI/YRFI bet of the day below, but you can follow all of his bets in the Action Network app.


Giants vs. Mets No Runs First Inning (-145)

Matchup Giants (Rodon) vs. Mets (Bassitt)
First Pitch 7:10 p.m. ET
Books Available Caesars

Today, we look to take the NRFI between two tired National league teams that played a total of 19 innings yesterday.

Mets starter Chris Bassitt is an under-appreciated NRFI pitcher. In 27 first innings last year, he posted highly proficient numbers which included a 2.67 ERA and a .230 batting average against when facing hitters for the first time through the lineup.

This resulted in a 21-6 NRFI record in 2021. Not surprisingly the story remains the same in 2022 as he is 2-0 to the NRFI to start the season.

Now finding Bassistt’s true NRFI potential is when he is coming off a start where he only allowed less than or equal to one earned run, and is the favorite, resulting in a 13-1 NRFI record since 2019. Shockingly, in that same time span, when Bassitt is the favorite his NRFI mark is 40-9.

Furthermore, Bassitt has had recent success against the Giants, going scoreless in two straight first innings, and has been successful in a small sample against the top of San Francisco’s lineup:

  • Brandon Belt (1 for 6)
  • Mike Yastrzemski (0 for 3)
  • Darin Ruf (1 for 3)

The Giants bats continue to be a let down and have not achieved a YRFI in four straight games.

On the other side, Carlos Rodon will blossom into an even more elite NRFI pitcher under this Giants staff.

Coming into 2022, Rodon was polishing to be a NRFI great. In 2021 he held a 2.63 first inning ERA paired with a .70 WHIP in 24 first innings pitched. Along with this he holds some amazing splits.

When facing hitters for the first time through the lineup, they’re only hitting a lousy .151. This includes dominating hitters in the No. 2 and No. 3 spot, who are only hitting for a .161 and .186 batting average.

This dominance has rolled over with the Giants as he is 2-0 in NRFI this year.

Rodon likes to NRFI coming off a good outing at 13-3 when coming off a win. Another unique spot we find him in here today is when Rodnon is pitching in a non-division game with the total greater than or equal to 7.5 runs — he is 16-4 to the NRFI since 2019.

The Mets bats haven’t been much better than the Giants; they achieved the YRFI only one time in four games that came off a throwing error on a steal accompanied by a pass ball.

Back these two evenly matched pitchers paired with slumping tired bats. Take the NRFI between the Giants/Mets.

As always, six outs to glory…

Get all of Shayne Trail’s NRFI/YRFI bets instantly in The Action Network app.

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