World Series Odds Update: How Did Contenders Odds Move After Wild MLB Trade Deadline?
Will Newton/Getty Images. Pictured: Two new Dodgers: Max Scherzer and Trea Turner.
World Series Odds
Via DraftKings
| Team | 7/30 Odds (Evening) | 7/30 Odds (Morning) |
|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers | +275 | +320 |
| Houston Astros | +600 | +600 |
| Chicago White Sox | +650 | +750 |
| New York Mets | +850 | +850 |
| San Diego Padres | +1000 | +900 |
| Boston Red Sox | +1100 | +1000 |
| Milwaukee Brewers | +1200 | +1100 |
| San Francisco Giants | +1200 | +1400 |
| Tampa Bay Rays | +1600 | +1400 |
| New York Yankees | +1700 | +1700 |
| Oakland Athletics | +3000 | +3000 |
| Toronto Blue Jays | +3000 | +3000 |
| Atlanta Braves | +5000 | +4000 |
| Philadelphia Phillies | +5500 | +5500 |
| Cincinnati Reds | +9000 | +9000 |
| St. Louis Cardinals | +15000 | +15000 |
| Los Angeles Angels | +15000 | +13000 |
| Seattle Mariners | +15000 | +25000 |
| Cleveland Indians | +18000 | +13000 |
| Chicago Cubs | +20000 | +13000 |
| Washington Nationals | +40000 | +20000 |
| Miami Marlins | +40000 | +40000 |
| Minnesota Twins | +80000 | +80000 |
| Colorado Rockies | +100000 | +100000 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates | +100000 | +100000 |
| Kansas City Royals | +100000 | +100000 |
| Detroit Tigers | +100000 | +100000 |
| Texas Rangers | +100000 | +100000 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | +100000 | +100000 |
| Baltimore Orioles | +100000 | +100000 |
The MLB Trade Deadline has come and gone, and the rosters we see now will be more or less the ones that teams take with them into the final two months of the season and the race to October.
Between Max Scherzer and Trea Turner going to the Dodgers, Anthony Rizzo and Joey Gallo going to the Yankees, José Berrios going to the Blue Jays, and a host of other trades along the way, many contenders beefed up their depth for the stretch run.
How did this affect those respective odds? Below, I've noted relevant odds movement from contenders on some combination of World Series, pennant and division races. Let's dig in.
Los Angeles Dodgers
- World Series Odds Before Deadline: +380
- World Series Odds After Deadline: +275
Odds from Thursday evening to Friday evening and via DraftKings
How does the favorite become a bigger favorite? Well, by acquiring a future Hall of Fame, three-time Cy Young winner. Oh, and an All-Star shortstop to boot.
The Dodgers swooped ahead of the rival Padres to acquire Max Scherzer and Trea Turner from the Nationals on Thursday, getting all their work done a day ahead of the deadline like the teacher's pet they are.
They have been the World Series favorites all season long, and the moves they made only solidified their position.
San Francisco Giants
- World Series Odds Before Deadline: +1400
- World Series Odds After Deadline: +1200
- Pennant Odds Before Deadline: +650
- Pennant Odds After Deadline: +525
- Division Odds Before Deadline: +280
- Division Odds After Deadline: +225
Odds from Friday morning to Friday evening and via DraftKings
The Giants answered their rivals down south with a buzzer-beating deal on Friday to acquire Kris Bryant from the Chicago Cubs.
San Francisco got who many consider the best position player on the market, and he will help the Giants in a number of ways, whether it be at third base, in the outfield, or some combination of the two.
We saw some movement in those odds after the move, but not as drastic as one might think. It's important to note that in baseball, no single player is going to swing odds very drastically, but it's also hard for odds to swing when the main competition makes an even bigger move, as the Dodgers did.
Still, the Giants remain in first place in the division, and the acquisition of Bryant will help them solidify that standing. Whether they can stave off the behemoth Dodgers — not to mention the Padres — will be among the most interesting things to watch these final two months.
Chicago White Sox
- World Series Odds Before Deadline: +750
- World Series Odds After Deadline: +650
- Pennant Odds Before Deadline: +300
- Pennant Odds After Deadline: +250
Odds from Friday morning to Friday evening and via DraftKings
Shortly after acquiring Craig Kimbrel from the Cubs, the White Sox became the favorites to win the AL pennant, leapfrogging the Houston Astros, who made a few minor moves but nothing in the ballpark of what the White Sox did.
Prior to that trade, the White Sox were +300 and Houston was +250, but with the White Sox moving to +250, Houston dropped slightly to +270. It's about as close to a coin-flip as you can get, with Boston next up at +425.
Kimbrel was the headline transaction, but the White Sox also added a much-needed second baseman in Cesar Hernandez from Cleveland, and more bullpen depth in Ryan Tepera, also from the Cubs.
New York Yankees
- World Series Odds Before Deadline: +2500
- World Series Odds After Deadline: +2200
- Pennant Odds Before Deadline: +1400
- Pennant Odds After Deadline: +950
- Division Odds Before Deadline: +1300
- Division Odds After Deadline: +1000
Odds from Thursday evening to Friday evening and via BetMGM
The Yankees made their biggest splashes before Friday in acquiring Joey Gallo from the Rangers and Anthony Rizzo from the Cubs, and they added starting pitching depth at the deadline on Friday in Andrew Heaney from the Angels.
New York entered the season with the second-lowest World Series odds and was the favorite in both the league and the AL East, but has since seen those odds drop over the course of an uneven first four months of the season.
The odds came down slightly after the deadline, but the Yankees still sit behind the Red Sox and Rays (both +1200) for the World Series. Boston (-125) and Tampa Bay (+130) still have the two lowest odds for the division, too.
Toronto Blue Jays
- Division Odds Before Deadline: +2200
- Division Odds After Deadline: +1800
Odds from Friday morning to Friday evening and via DraftKings
Thanks to the Yankees' activity, the Blue Jays' odds didn't move all that much despite a solid addition in Jose Berrios, the second-best starting pitcher on the market next to Scherzer.
We haven't seen any movement on Toronto's World Series or pennant odds — at +3000 and +1400, respectively — but they did narrow the gap in the division slightly.
It's worth noting that Toronto's odds at DraftKings have been considerably lower than other books, so this could be a matter of them just catching up to the pack. Toronto, which has been seen as low as +1300 for the division at some books, still sits behind New York, Boston and Tampa in the AL East pecking order.
San Diego Padres
- Division Odds Before Deadline: +525
- Division Odds After Deadline: +700
Odds from Friday morning to Friday evening and via DraftKings
The one notable faller here among potential contenders is the Padres, who lost out on Max Scherzer and failed to move the needle in a meaningful way ahead of the deadline.
San Diego did acquire All-Star second baseman Adam Frazier from the Pirates in the days leading up to the deadline, and added depth pieces such as Daniel Hudson and Jake Marisnick, but the moves their NL West rivals made in Scherzer, Turner and Bryant dwarfed those in comparison.
The Padres saw minimal drops in their World Series and pennant odds, but the big drop came in the division. Already sitting in third, the Padres saw the gap widen between themselves and the Dodgers and Giants.
The Rest
The New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies bolstered their rosters a bit, but not enough to move the needle considerably. The Mets added Javier Baez from the Cubs in a deadline deal and Rich Hill last week, but missed out on a couple of the big targets they were reportedly in on, and didn't see significant movement in either direction. New York remains NL East favorites (-300) and checks in with the second-lowest pennant odds at +450, via DraftKings.
Philadelphia paid a steep price in acquiring Kyle Gibson and Ian Kennedy from the Rangers for talented youngster Spencer Howard, and made a few other minor deals, but it remains on the outside looking in in both the division and wild-card races. The Phillies are +425 for the NL East and +3000 for the pennant, via DraftKings.
The Oakland Athletics, Houston Astros and Seattle Mariners made a flurry of minor moves, the biggest of which came earlier this week when Oakland acquired Starling Marte from the Miami Marlins. Houston bolstered its bullpen with Kendall Graveman from Seattle and the Mariners, in turn, got Diego Castillo from the Tampa Bay Rays.
The Boston Red Sox also remained quiet outside of a trade for Kyle Schwarber, and the Milwaukee Brewers and Atlanta Braves added a few depth pieces.
None of those trades moved the needle considerably from an odds perspective, although
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