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Jamie Mullarkey vs. Khama Worthy UFC 260 Odds, Pick & Prediction (Saturday, March, 27)

Jamie Mullarkey vs. Khama Worthy UFC 260 Odds, Pick & Prediction (Saturday, March, 27) article feature image

Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC. Pictured (L-R): UFC fighters Jamie Mullarkey and Khama Worthy.

  • Lightweights Jamie Mullarkey and Khama Worthy will kick off the Pay-Per-View bouts on Saturday's UFC 260 card.
  • Both fighter's are coming off losses, but Mullarkey really needs a win to keep his chances of staying in the UFC alive.
  • Check out Sean Zerillo's fight preview below.

Jamie Mullarkey vs. Khama Worthy Odds

Mullarkey odds
Worthy odds
2.5 (+105 / -136)
UFC APEX, Las Vegas
Approx. 10 p.m. ET
Odds as of Friday and via PointsBet

The UFC 260 main card kicks off with two Lightweight challengers — Jamie Mullarkey and Khama Worthy — going head-to-head and looking to bounce back off their respective losses. Mullarkey is still seeking his first win in the Octagon and Worthy lost by TKO in September.

Below I’ll preview the matchup and odds for tonight’s fight. For more analysis on the rest of the card, you can check out my projections for the entire slate here.

Tale of the Tape

Avg. Fight Time15:006:14
Weight (pounds)155 lbs.155 lbs.
Reach (inches)74″74″
Date of birth8/17/9410/15/86
Sig Strikes Per Min1.874.12
SS Accuracy33%47%
SS Absorbed Per Min4.603.69
SS Defense42%45%
Take Down Avg4.000.00
TD Acc30%0%
TD Def66%57%
Submission Avg0.50.8
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Despite six career knockout losses, I think the durability concerns for Worthy are a bit overblown against a terribly inaccurate striker like Mullarkey (33% accuracy, -2.73 differential), who will look to win this fight with his wrestling and control (4.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, 30% accuracy).

Mullarkey’s lack of volume is going to lead to some wonky losses.

In his last fight against Fares Ziam, for example, he trailed 47-20 in the significant strike battle, but secured five takedowns and held 6:56 of control. Fifteen of the 17 media members and two-thirds of fans scored the bout for Mullarkey, but Ziam won 29-28 on all three judges’ scorecards.

Worthy is the far better athlete, carries more power, and is very likely to finish this fight or rack up the volume if he can keep the bout standing. But he showed holes in his takedown defense against Luis Pena (allowed 3-of-7 attempts, with 4:13 of control), which could give Mullarkey a path to winning minutes here.

Mullarkey vs. Worthy Pick

I projected Mullarkey’s decision line at +305 and was able to pick off +400 before the market moved his way — down from +140 (implied 41.6%) to +105 (48.8%) in recent weeks.

I’d be OK with a small stab down to +300, but would otherwise pass on this fight.

The Pick: Mullarkey Wins by Decision (+320)

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