NASCAR Toyota 500 at Darlington Odds, Betting Pick: Target the Kevin Harvick vs. Kyle Busch Driver Matchup

Credit:

Photo by Jeffrey Vest/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Kevin Harvick, Stewart-Haas Racing, Ford Mustang Mobil 1 (4) and Kyle Busch, Joe Gibbs Racing, Toyota Camry M&Ms Red, White & Blue (18)

May 20, 2020, 04:20 PM EDT
  • NASCAR's Toyota 500 is scheduled to start Wednesday at 6 p.m. ET (FS1) at Darlington Raceway.
  • The Kevin Harvick vs. Kyle Busch head-to-head driver matchup is offering value for tonight's Toyota 500.
  • Learn why bettors should target this matchup at Darlington Raceway.

So far the biggest storyline this week at Darlington Raceway has been Mother Nature, as NASCAR has already pushed back Tuesday’s XFNITY Series race to Thursday, while tonight’s Cup Series race comes with a 90% chance of rain.

Whether the race does find a break in the weather tonight or is postponed until later in the week, we have already started building our Toyota 500 betting cards with three futures, and now it’s time to add a head-to-head driver matchup that is wildly mispriced based on the data.

Here’s the Toyota 500 matchup to jump on now before odds start moving and the value disappears.

NASCAR at Darlington Driver Matchup Betting Pick


Odds as of 12 p.m. ET on Wednesday and via PointsBet, where you can get a $200 sign-up bonus.


Kevin Harvick (-115) vs. Kyle Busch (-115)

While both are widely considered among the Cup Series’ elite drivers, Harvick has rocketed out of the gates this season while Busch, along with the rest of his Joe Gibbs Racing teammates, have started more slowly than we’re accustomed to.

Through five races, Harvick has one victory, which came Sunday at Darlington, three top-five finishes, has finished inside the top 10 in every race and sits atop the point standings.

On the other hand, Busch ranks just 12th in points and has managed only two top-10 finishes.

Further, the divide between how these two drivers performed at Darlington three days ago is startling.

Not only did Harvick win the race, but he also led the most laps, ran the most fast laps and had the best driver rating in the field.

Busch wasn’t even close to Harvick’s in any of these major statistical categories.

There’s no doubt that Harvick has been better than Busch this season, in general, and that gap was even bigger Sunday at Darlington.

This is no way this matchup should be -115 both ways, and I don’t expect that number to last long, so if you want to take Harvick, you’d better do it soon.

The bet: Harvick (-115) over Kyle Busch

[Bet now at PointsBet. NJ and IN only.]

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