NASCAR at Homestead Early Odds & Picks: The Driver to Bet Now for Sunday’s Ford EcoBoost 400


Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: NASCAR Cup Series driver Kyle Larson (42)

Nov 14, 2019, 10:59 AM EST
  • The final race of the 2019 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series season will take place Sunday (3 p.m. ET, NBC) at Homestead-Miami Speedway.
  • PJ Walsh details one driver to bet now for the Ford EcoBoost 400.

The NASCAR season comes to a close this weekend, and to be completely honest, I’m ready for a break.

Winning over the long haul is quite difficult, but, for the most part, that can be reasonably addressed and explained through the written word.

But with the rush of content creators getting in on legalized sports betting, the market has become flooded with articles, analysis, data, etc. that focus solely on making betting picks.

The problem is that much of this content is coming from people who don’t actually bet, keeping them buffered from the emotional rollercoaster associated with putting real money behind one’s opinions.

Sure, it’s easy to talk or write about putting feelings aside and making bets on only what the data tell us, but we’re human. The elation of a hot streak or big recent win can drive us to decisions that we wouldn’t necessarily make if losses are building.

We’d all love to be the Eli Mannings of sports betting, possessing the mental ability to immediately forget about disastrous results just to push the ball right back into the same tiny windows.

But it’s not that easy.

My 2019 NASCAR betting season has been a crazy one.

From kicking off the year with a 60-1 XFINITY Series winner at Daytona (Michael Annett) to losing a 37-1 bet when Ross Chastain failed post-race inspection (on Father’s Day, no less) at Iowa, then runner-up finishes from Matt DiBendetto (300-1) at Bristol and Chastain (100-1) in the XFINITY race at Texas two weeks ago, it’s certainly been an emotional ride.

I’ve even mentioned to friends and fellow bettors that this has probably been my best season handicapping the sport, but not even close to my most profitable.

And I’d be lying if I said a recent run of close calls, like Chastain at Texas and Aric Almirola (40-1) finishing second the next damn day, and the sheer fatigue of a nine-month season across three unique series (Trucks, XFINITY and Cup) weren’t weighing on me heading into Sunday’s race at Homestead.

Sometimes, it’s hard to put those emotions aside and pull the trigger on a bet we know is a good one. The “problem” is that Sunday’s race at Homestead is providing one of these solid betting opportunities.

So for one final time during the 2019 MENCS season, here’s an early-week bet I’m making.

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