Spurs vs. Rockets Odds & Betting Predictions - February 27, 2025

🔑 Spurs +8 -108 (FanDuel) 2.5u Both of these teams have been awful ATS respectfully their L10 games but I feel this is a great spot for SAS here to cover this. It’s a large number for a struggling Rockets teams to cover. Spurs still have guys even without Wemby and I think they keep this one close. A lot of money coming in on Houston, you know we fade that!

Covered 17/28 this season w/ Green/Amen/Brooks/Sengun and 23+ MIN - AVG 12.6 PTS and 9.7 FGA. Jabari's shooting splits are much better @ home and he's over in 11/14 @ home w/ everyone and playing 23+ MIN. HOU are on a B2B and Eason hasn't played in a B2B since November, so he should eventually be out tonight, which will help secure Jabari's minutes. He AVG 33.4 MPG w/o Eason this season and is over this line in 18/25 (72%) w/ 27+ MIN - AVG 13.7 PTS and 10.6 FGA --> 11/13 @ home - AVG 15.7 PTS. Jabari AVG a 47% C&S FREQ% and that number is up to 55% since the all star break. SAS rank league AVG in C&S FREQ% but since the Wemby injury they're allowing s 33.1% FREQ%, which would rank 4th highest in the league. When he takes 8-13 FGA, he's over this line in 16/25 (64%) games and 10/13 @ home (76.9%).

Running this back and tailing @JoeDellera

Playable to -170 Running it back in an even better matchup against the Rockets. Still no real understanding for why the Spurs are running particular rotations and Vassell just played 30+ last night after not even sniffing it for the prior two games. Given it's a back to back, maybe they switch up the rotation some. Either way, 30 mins is about his ceiling and he now has missed this in 6 straight games.

Jabari is projected to play 35 mins tonight. He’s over in 74% of games when he plays between 29-38 mins. This will be his 4th game back from injury & in his first 3, he played 38, 29 & 33 mins, he has no limitations! PFs have been torching the Spurs in the rebound department as of late. They are allowing the most rebounds per game to the position L20. He likely draws the Harrison Barnes matchup, who camps in the corner, which puts Jabari in position to play a lot of help & be in position for weakside boards. We were just on Olynyk RA for this same reason, who grabbed 12 and 15 boards in B2B matchups.