Wizards vs. Heat Odds & Betting Predictions - March 4, 2025

Wizards at Heat

12:30 am • FDSSUN
90 - 106

Wizards at Heat Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Wizards
1-4
+12.5
+8.5-112
o217.5-112
+280
Heat
3-2
u225.5
-8.5-108
u217.5-108
-355
location pinTuesday 12:30 a.m.
March 04, 2025
Kaseya CenterMiami
Wizards vs. Heat Expert Picks
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 64-79-3 (-12.3u)
WAS +160 (2H)
1.6u
T.Herro o6.5 Ast-113
1.13u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 184-167-1 (-4.8u)
M.Smart u3.5 Ast-150
0.2u
K.Middleton u13.5 Pts+100
0.5u
Brian Condon
Brian Condon
Last 30d: 3-15-0 (-5.4u)
B.Adebayo u20.5 Pts-120
0.83u
The Propfessor
The Propfessor
Last 30d: 41-49-0 (+4.6u)
D.Robinson o19.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast+100
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 184-167-1 (-4.8u)
K.George u3.5 Ast-120
0.8u
David Payne
David Payne
Last 30d: 8-10-0 (-2.0u)
WAS +7.5-105
2u
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
WAS +260
1u
WAS +8.5-115
1.15u
Jay Money
Last 30d: 2-6-0 (-4.2u)
WAS +8.5-105
0.1u
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 43-58-1 (-6.0u)
D.Mitchell o13.5 Pts+Ast-130
0.65u
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 55-58-1 (-7.1u)
B.Adebayo o19.5 Pts-103
1.03u
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
WAS +8.5-110
1.1u
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 22-27-1 (-0.6u)
D.Mitchell o13.5 Pts+Ast-120
1u
🤝 The Huddle got it first The Heat just ruled out Ware and Jaquez is Doubtful for this one as well. This matchup against the Wizards is exploitable for Mitchell with them having the second-worst Defense in the league and the fourth-fastest Pace. Further, they allow the fifth-most assists per game to their opponents. Mitchell has been great with extended run. He’s been given the opportunity to show an expanded game after primarily being considered a defense first player. His last 3 games have all been at 37 minutes played with 26, 18, and 16 PA. He’s been able to score and dish to his teammates. Even if this game ends up being a blowout, I’d imagine that Mitchell would continue to play as they prioritize his development.
Royals Props
Royals Props
Last 30d: 32-21-2 (+7.5u)
K.George o10.5 Pts-115
1.15u
Snipers vs Heat
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 136-111-4 (+17.4u)
Under 219.5-105
0.95u
In-depth Writeup on X: @PicksOffice
WAS +9-110
1u
In-depth Writeup on X: @PicksOffice
David Payne
David Payne
Last 30d: 8-10-0 (-2.0u)
B.Coulibaly o13.5 Pts-125
2u
Jim Turvey
Jim Turvey
Last 30d: 31-48-0 (-12.0u)
B.Coulibaly o13.5 Pts-121
0.5u
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 41-89-0 (+10.1u)
A.Sarr u6.5 Rebs+100
1u
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 150-104-2 (+13.2u)
M.Smart u5.5 Rebs+Ast-120
1u
Through 4 games with Washington, Smart is averaging 1.8 assists on 4.5 assist chances, and 1.5 rebounds over 3.5 rebound chances. This means he’s averaging 3.3 R+A over 8 combined chances. Assuming he sees a similar amount of chances tonight (8), he’d need to convert on 75% of them to clear 5.5. Jordan Poole is out but last game, they kept Smart off the bench in his normal 20 minute role. With Washington, he’s averaging 19.8 minutes per game, down from the 21.1 he was averaging with Memphis. Seems like Washington doesn’t plan to expand Smart’s role too much even with Poole sidelined. Banking on Smart playing a similar role tonight with Miami limiting his rebound and assist chances.
Matt DiLeo
Matt DiLeo
Last 30d: 41-41-0 (-5.8u)
A.Sarr o1.5 3pt M-122
1u
The Propfessor
The Propfessor
Last 30d: 41-49-0 (+4.6u)
A.Sarr o1.5 3pt M-118
1.18u
Run it back. Make sure you check the alternate player 3pt on MGM for odds.
A.Sarr To Make 3+ Threes Yes+275
0.25u
David Payne
David Payne
Last 30d: 8-10-0 (-2.0u)
D.Mitchell o16.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120
2u
Over 219.5-108
2u

Wizards vs. Heat Previews & Analysis

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Wizards vs. Heat Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Wizards

Public

44%

Bets%

56%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Heat
4-0-12-02-0-11-03-0-1
Wizards
1-40-21-20-11-3

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Heat
3-21-12-11-02-2
Wizards
4-12-02-11-03-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Heat
3-2N/AN/A1-02-2
Wizards
1-4N/AN/A0-11-3

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Mar 2ndNYKL 112-116+6 WO 219NYK +190
Mar 1stINDW 125-120+3 WO 223MIA +124
Feb 27thATLW 131-109-3 WO 229.5MIA -157
Feb 25th@ATLL 86-98+2.5 LU 232.5ATL +114
Feb 23rd@MILL 113-120+4 LO 221MIL +151

Heat vs. Wizards Injury Updates

Heat Injuries

  • Norman Powell
    SG

    Norman Powell (groin) out Tuesday.

    Out

  • Tyler Herro
    SG

    Herro is out with ankle

    Out

  • Kasparas Jakucionis
    PG

    Jakucionis is out with groin

    Out

Wizards Injuries

    Player Stats
    • scoring
      Bam Adebayo logo
      Bam Adebayo
      19
      ppg
    • rebounding
      Bam Adebayo logo
      Bam Adebayo
      15
      rpg
    • assists
      Tyler Herro logo
      Tyler Herro
      6
      apg
    • shooting
      Tyler Herro logo
      Tyler Herro
      60
      fg%
    Team Stats
    31-84 (37%)
    Field Goals
    39-82 (48%)
    18-22 (82%)
    Free Throws
    15-18 (83%)
    10-35 (29%)
    3P
    13-37 (35%)
    43
    Rebounds
    48
    21
    Assists
    31
    Turnovers
    8
    Steals
    10
    0
    Blocks
    4
    17
    Fouls
    19

    Wizards vs. Heat Odds Comparison

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    Wizards at Heat Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Wizards
    1-4
    o104.5-105
    u104.5-115
    Heat
    3-2
    o112.5-118
    u112.5-102