Clippers vs. Warriors Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions: Does the Over/Under Have Value?
Photo credit: Jed Jacobsohn/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Stephen Curry
- The Los Angeles Clippers are double-digit road favorites in the bay area as they face the hobbled Golden State Warriors on Tuesday night.
- The Warriors have ruled out both Stephen Curry (illness) and Draymond Green (knee) in this matchup.
- Can the scrappy Warriors compete again without their stars? Bryan Mears gives his analysis and picks below.
Editors note: Stephen Curry has officially been ruled out of Tuesday’s game
What looked like a potential marquee matchup before the season is now a double-digit affair due to the Warriors’ injuries and trades. Stephen Curry is questionable after missing Saturday’s game, and he’ll obviously swing the line either way when his status is reported.
What’s his value to the spread and over/under? Let’s break it down.
Clippers at Warriors Picks, Betting Odds & Predictions
- Spread: Clippers -12.5
- Over/Under: 223.5
- Time: 10:30 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: TNT
Betting Trend to Know
The Warriors have some trends worth noting — they’re 14-18-1 ATS at home; the under is 9-2 in their division games — but the sample might be pretty unrepresentative if Stephen Curry (questionable) suits up.
On the Clippers’ side, they’re 29-22 ATS as favorites this year, including 8-7 when laying double digits. The under is 23-16 in Clippers conference games and 7-3 within the division.
For the Warriors, Draymond Green and Kevon Looney will be out for this one. Stephen Curry missed Saturday’s game with an illness, along with practice on Sunday. He’s currently questionable to suit up.
The Warriors are already thin, even if Curry does go. They’re likely to start Juan Toscano-Anderson, a 26-year-old wing who went undrafted in 2015 and has played overseas and the G-League prior to getting a shot with the Warriors this season.
On the Clippers’ side, Lou Williams has been ruled out with a calf injury. Otherwise, they’re fully healthy right now. They don’t play again until Friday, so it seems unlikely that they would rest any players, although it’s always a possibility, especially if Curry doesn’t play and this game seems like an easy win.
So far, the biggest move on this game has been the over/under, which has moved up two full points to 228.5 after opening at 226.5. We tracked a steam move on that 226.5 number, which helped contribute to the movement.