The Houston Rockets (41-27) and Minnesota Timberwolves (43-27) will square off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 9:30 p.m. ET from Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The game will broadcast live on ESPN.
The Rockets are 1.5-point favorites over the Timberwolves on the spread (Rockets -1.5), with the over/under set at 223.5 total points. Houston is a -126 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Minnesota is +108 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Rockets vs. Timberwolves predictions and NBA picks for Wednesday, March 25.
Rockets vs Timberwolves Prediction, Pick
- Rockets vs Timberwolves pick: Timberwolves +1.5 (-108)
My Timberwolves vs. Rockets best bet is on Minnesota to cover the spread. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Rockets vs Timberwolves Odds
| Rockets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -112 | 223.5 -114o / -106u | -126 |
| Timberwolves Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -108 | 223.5 -114o / -106u | +108 |
Rockets vs Timberwolves NBA Preview
Anthony Edwards remains sidelined for the Timberwolves tonight, which is obviously a huge deal for Minnesota.
Do you want to know what else is a huge deal? The Rockets have not covered the spread in a single game in the month of March.
Houston is also 24th in ATS differential against top-10 point differential teams, while the Wolves are +1.8.
The Timberwolves get to be the scrappy underdogs in a must-win spot without their best player tonight — but with a favorable matchup.
Minnesota is a pure three-point shooting team — and without Edwards, the Wolves can still get to those shots, especially whenever Naz Reid is on the floor for them.
The Rockets will have to choose between putting Alperen Sengun on Reid and having Jabari Smith guard Julius Randle, or putting Sengun on Randle and getting stretched out.
Either way, those two guys will have plenty of chances to hit threes in this game.
Rockets vs Timberwolves Predictions, Betting Analysis
Timberwolves +1.5
The Rockets' offense is horrific, especially late in games.
If this is a tight game late, I’ll take my chances with Ayo Dosunmu and Bones Hyland — but especially Jaden McDaniels, who is having an incredible season.
The Wolves are well-equipped to guard the Rockets’ post-up actions with Sengun because so much of their build was to stop and counter Nikola Jokic.
The Wolves can also guard Kevin Durant with McDaniels; a physical, long defender who will at least make KD work.
I’m expecting a total team effort from the Wolves tonight, especially from behind the arc in an upset bid.
Over 223.5
I also slightly lean toward the Over in this game — but I don’t love the angle without Edwards or with how Houston's offense has played in tight games.
Ultimately, I’ll stay away from the total, but the three-point rate I’m expecting, alone, would give value on the Over — and both teams will look to run to beat the opponent from setting up their elite halfcourt defense.
Rockets vs Timberwolves Best Bets
- Timberwolves +1.5
- Over 223.5 (Lean)
