Timberwolves vs Lakers Odds: Expert Pick on Friday Night NBA Total
David Sherman/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Troy Brown (No. 7,left ) and LeBron James (No. 6, right), Karl-Anthony Towns No. 32, center).
- The eighth and ninth seeds in the Western Conference face off on Friday night.
- The Lakers are right at .500, while Minnesota is one game over.
- Jim Turvey previews the game and makes his best bet below.
Timberwolves vs Lakers Odds
|Time||8 p.m. ET|
|Odds via FanDuel. Get the latest NBA odds here.|
Tonight, we look for a Lakers vs. Timberwolves pick. You’ve been hearing it for months, but the West still hasn’t separated itself, and as such, each night feels like it is of massive importance.
These teams are battling for postseason positioning and this could be a play-in round preview with Los Angeles and Minnesota sitting eighth and ninth in the Western Conference standings.
Both teams will have most of their key names as Karl-Anthony Towns recently returned for the Wolves (39-38) and LeBron James is back for the Lakers (38-38). There are some names on the injury report, but almost all are probable (Naz Reid is the biggest name most likely to miss this contest).
The Wolves have already secured the tiebreaker, but there will be plenty more implications from this one, which is priced right around a pick’em. Here’s a betting preview for Lakers vs. Timberwolves, including a pick and prediction.
Los Angeles Lakers
The Lakers play one of the most interior-centric offenses in the NBA. They take 3s at a bottom-five rate and score the seventh-most points in the paint. Those numbers have moved a bit since their trade deadline overhaul, but this is still a team that does most of its work inside. They also don’t often take advantage of their opponent’s mistakes and average the second-fewest points off turnovers per game this season. (It never ceases to amaze me that the teams with James and Giannis Antetokounmpo — both one-man fast breaks — sit at the bottom of that category.)
Unfortunately for L.A., it is going against a team that has Rudy Gobert in the middle, but often gifts its opponents points off turnovers. Gobert has looked strong lately, especially on the glass since Town’s return.
The Wolves send their opponents to the line and, as you may have seen, the Lakers have paraded to the line since their infamous loss against the Celtics.
Here it is since the referees issued their apology to the Lakers for their missed call in the Celtics gamehttps://t.co/SQBbsjb5fThttps://t.co/5BnBMU7Iqlpic.twitter.com/hlu8NvcVdx
— Mason Ginsberg (@MasonGinsberg) March 27, 2023
It will be interesting to keep an eye on that in this game.
The Wolves have looked pretty strong since Towns’ return. They beat the Hawks at home and then came through with a big road win over the Warriors in Towns; second game back. Minnesota’s most recent outing was a loss, a seven-point defeat in Phoenix against Kevin Durant and the Suns.
Interestingly enough, the defense has looked better. Minnesota held the Warriors under 100 points and limited Phoenix to 107. Of course, that’s a tiny sample and overall, Towns is going to have a more positive impact on the offense than the defense.
This game could set up nicely for the over. These teams both rank high in terms of pace, and with both rosters near full strength, their offensive repertoires should be full.
By the numbers, I’d have the Wolves as roughly a two-point favorite, but I can’t shake the worry about the free throws they are going to get in this game. So instead, I am turning to the total.
With teams that love to push the pace and a pair of healthy rosters, the over looks like a strong bet. However, I’m only making this a lean because of the Wolves’ recent low-scoring games. I tend not to weigh recent games too much, unless there is a big change to the team — such as Towns’ return.
Lean: Over 231.5
What is QuickSlip?
QuickSlip is an Action Network feature that allows users to automatically pre-load their bet slip at FanDuel Sportsbook.
How would you rate this article?
This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.