The Miami Heat (31-28) and Philadelphia 76ers (32-26) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 7:00 p.m. ET from Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, Pa. The game will broadcast live on FDSSUN.
The 76ers are 2.5-point favorites over the Heat on the spread (76ers -2.5), with the over/under set at 240.5 total points. Philadelphia is a -135 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Miami is+114 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Heat vs. 76ers predictions and NBA picks for Thursday, February 26.
Heat vs 76ers Prediction
- Heat vs 76ers pick: Joel Embiid Under 27.5 Points (-112)
My 76ers vs Heat best bet is on Joel Embiid to score under 27.5 points. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Heat vs 76ers Odds
| Heat Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2.5 -118 | 240.5 -110o / -110u | +114 |
| 76ers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2.5 -102 | 240.5 -110o / -110u | -135 |
Heat vs 76ers NBA Preview
The Miami Heat are coming off a gutting loss to the Bucks, but naturally, they are an NBA-best 20-7 against the spread after a loss this season.
The Heat are also 16-11 straight up during that time.
Miami is 4-2 in its last six, while Philly is 2-4 in its last six.
The 76ers are just 13-17 against the spread at home, which is the eighth-worst mark in the NBA.
Injury-wise, Davion Mitchell (illness) is questionable for Miami, and Nikola Jovic (back) is out.
Joel Embiid (knee) is probable.
Heat vs 76ers Predictions, Betting Analysis
Joel Embiid has gone under 27.5 points in two of 14 matchups against Bam Adebayo since 2021.
That includes four playoff games in 2022 and a play-in game in 2024.
Embiid just had 27 points in 26 minutes versus the Pacers — but that was against the Pacers.
Against Adebayo, he hasn't gone over this line in two years and has only done it twice in the last five.
Philly would be wise to be Tyrese Maxey-centric against guards like Norman Powell and Tyler Herro tonight.
If Davion Mitchell plays, he'll compete, but he probably won't negate Maxey to the degree Adebayo can with Embiid.
Embiid could still have a nice game, but I'm playing the matchup history here — and we have an Embiid past his prime and likely on a minutes limit.
Pick: Joel Embiid Under 27.5 Points (-112, DraftKings)
Spread
I'm not taking either side of the spread.
Moneyline
No play on the moneyline here.
Over/Under
My Heat vs. 76ers betting prediction is Joel Embiid under 27.5 points at -112.
