The Miami Heat (24-22) and Phoenix Suns (27-18) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 8:00 p.m. ET from the Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, Arizona. The game will broadcast live on FDSSUN.
The Suns are 4.5-point favorites over the Heat on the spread (Suns -4.5), with the over/under set at 227 total points. Phoenix is a -160 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Miami is +135 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Heat vs. Suns predictions and NBA picks for Sunday, January 25.
Heat vs Suns Prediction, Picks
- Heat vs Suns pick: Heat +4.5 (-110)
My Heat vs Suns best bet is on Miami to cover the spread, with the best price currently available at bet365. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Heat vs Suns Odds
| Heat Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+4.5 -110 | 227 -110o / -110u | +135 |
| Suns Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-4.5 -110 | 227 -110o / -110u | -160 |
Heat vs Suns NBA Preview
This NBA system identifies teams that benefit from rest-related inefficiencies in the betting market during the regular season.
It targets teams that have played frequently in recent days, but still have at least one day off before the current game, such as the Heat — while facing opponents who have enjoyed multiple days of rest, which is the case for the Suns in this spot.
These matchups often produce inflated spreads, as the market tends to overvalue the fresher opponent and undervalue the rhythm and momentum of teams that remain in game shape.
Line movement from open to close typically reflects bettors chasing the rested side, which in turn creates value on the opposite end.
Heat vs Suns Predictions, Analysis
By focusing on teams like the Heat in the middle of a road stretch and leveraging modest spread movement, this system captures spots where perceived fatigue outweighs its actual impact.
When scheduling dynamics and market bias align, the edge becomes especially actionable.
Overall, the system stands at 140-106-7 (57%) with an 11% ROI across all-time results.
So, let's take the points with the Heat in Phoenix tonight.
Pick: Heat +4.5 (-110)
Spread
My Suns vs Heat betting prediction is on Miami to cover the spread at +4.5.
Moneyline
No play on the moneyline.
Over/Under
I'm not betting either side of the total in this game.
Suns vs Heat Betting Trends
