Monday’s NBA Betting Odds, Picks, Predictions: 4 Best Bets, Including Lakers vs. Raptors, Trail Blazers vs. Clippers (April 6)
Adam Pantozzi/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Kawhi Leonard #2 of the LA Clippers.
- Don't know what NBA games to bet on tonight? We've got you covered.
- With eight games on Tuesday's NBA schedule, there's a lot of betting value on the slate.
- Read below for more analysis on their favorite bets.
Tuesday’s NBA schedule brings us eight matchups, including two awesome games to watch on national TV: 76ers vs. Celtics (7:3 p.m. ET) and Bucks vs. Warriors (10 p.m. ET).
Our NBA analysts walk you through their favorite bets for Tuesday night’s slate featuring two picks on a road favorite, and a play on the under in one of tonight’s late games.
You can check out their in-depth analysis for each game below.
NBA Odds & Picks
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Boston Celtics
Joe Dellera: The 76ers head to Boston to try and secure the season sweep. While the 76ers are ranked seventh (+4.4) on the season in Point Differential per 100 possessions and the Celtics are ranked ninth (+2.4) and this may appear to be an even matchup, I think the 76ers should dominate.
Philly has a distinct size advantage and with Joel Embiid back from injury they should capitalize. In the two prior games this season, Embiid averaged 40 and 10.5 in 31 minutes. These are dominating performances against a Celtics team that is even more thin up front without Daniel Theis.
Robert Williams will be tasked with defending arguably the best inside threat in the NBA. NBA Advanced Stats has Williams defending Embiid for a total of 55 seconds this season and Williams committed two fouls and surrendered five points to Embiid. Although this data is a bit wonky to borrow a term from Matt Moore, it certainly is not promising for the Celtics.
The Celtics are just 9-12 straight up against teams over .500 this season including 6-7 against the spread and 4-9 SU as an underdog, per Bet Labs.
Embiid should dominate in this matchup and lead the 76ers to victory (and a cover) against a mediocre Celtics team that is on the verge of slipping out of the playoffs.
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Boston Celtics
Kenny Ducey: It’s pretty odd that Boston actually comes into this game in better shape than Philadelphia, on a two-game winning streak, considering all that it’s been through this season. It’s even more odd that I’m absolutely convinced I need to fade the Celtics in this spot.
Though the reason isn’t as simple as Embiid being active, it’s certainly a large part as Joe stated. It can’t go understated how much he means to this offense, adding 12.3 points per 100 possessions when he’s on the floor, according to NBA Advanced Stats, and I think we’ve all seen over the past couple of weeks how clueless this team is as to how to score the basketball without him.
Tristan Thompson remains out for this one, and though Semi Ojeleye will be back, I’m still concerned about Boston’s ability to stop Embiid, who had 80 combined points in both games these two teams played earlier this season.
Thompson and Ojeleye were both healthy for those contests, and still the Celtics were hopeless against Embiid. It also doesn’t help that Evan Fournier will miss this game, though he appears to be worth just half a point in the eyes of bettors, if that.
I’m going to back the Sixers, whose struggles without Embiid are meaningless with one of the most prolific scorers in the game back in the lineup.
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Toronto Raptors
Brandon Anderson: The Lakers continue to be woefully undermanned. LeBron James and Anthony Davis are still out for an undetermined amount of time, and it looks like Andre Drummond may miss another one tonight too.
The Lakers need production from anywhere they can find it right now, and Kyle Kuzma has taken on a significant portion of the load. He’s playing 35 minutes per game over the last seven Lakers outings, and his production is way up. Kuzma is scoring 16.9 points a game and adding 8.1 rebounds and 3.6 assists. It hasn’t been particularly pretty or efficient, but we don’t have to worry about efficiency in the props world.
This game against the Raptors is about as easy as things are going to get for LA the next couple weeks with a really tough upcoming schedule, so look for Kuzma to play big minutes as the Lakers try to scrape out another win.
Minutes equal opportunity, and that’s why Kuzma’s rebounding has been up lately. He’s recorded at least seven rebounds in six of his last seven games, so that floor puts us one away from an over.
Kuzma has gone over 7.5 boards in four of the last seven. He’s under in three straight, but twice by only half a board, so let’s not let recency bias impact the overall trend here. The Raptors are not a good rebounding team. Toronto ranks dead last in the NBA in defensive rebounds per game. This is a great spot for Kuz to pile up boards again.
We project Kuzma at 9.4 rebounds, so I love this at near even odds, and our Props Tool rates this one a 10 out of 10. I’ll play the over as high as -130.
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Los Angeles Clippers
Malik Smith: This is one of the matchups to watch on tonight’s slate with two teams that can get hot on offense. But I’m leaning toward the under here for two reasons.
In games between elite teams in the same conference, the under has been a profitable bet over the past six season. This season, it’s 20-7-1 in this spot, according to Bet Labs. The other reason centers around the Clippers. Since the All-Star break, they rank 25th in Pace (96.77) and fifth in Defensive Rating (107.0), according to NBA Advanced Stats.
The Blazers have focused almost all of their attention to offense as well, but their pace has been middle of the pack in that span as well (98.5). I think the Clippers will force Damian Lillard and Co. to slow things down, which should take reduce the total amount of possessions for one of the league’s greatest shooters to fire away from deep.
The money in this game appears to be trending toward a lower-scoring matchups as well with 61% of bettors taking the under. I think there’s value here down to 228.
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