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NBA Finals Game 5 Player Props: Our Expert’s 3 Bets for Saturday, June 13

NBA Finals Game 5 Player Props: Our Expert’s 3 Bets for Saturday, June 13 article feature image
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Brad Penner-Imagn Images. Pictured: Josh Hart

The NBA Finals resume with Game 5 in San Antonio this weekend — and our betting expert Brandon Anderson is targeting a total of three bets in Saturday's matchup between the San Antonio Spurs and New York Knicks.

Continue below for our NBA Finals Game 5 player props for Saturday, June 13.

NBA Finals Game 5 Player Props

Time (ET)Player Prop
8:30 p.m.
8:30 p.m.
8:30 p.m.
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

Knicks vs. Spurs Player Prop Bet: Josh Hart

New York Knicks Logo
Saturday, June 13
8:30 p.m. ET
ABC
San Antonio Spurs Logo
Header First Logo

Josh Hart Over 8.5 Rebounds (+105)

Header Trailing Logo

We are going back to the well and playing the hits on Saturday. The market is hanging a plus-money price tag on Josh Hart to clear 8.5 boards in Game 5, and on principle alone, we should not be afraid to bet it again here.

I know the box score watchers look at Game 2 and panic because he finished with a low output, but let's be real: that game was an rotational anomaly dictated by early foul trouble that capped him at a mere 18 minutes on the floor.

If you throw away that foul-trouble outlier, his rebounding log across the rest of this championship series reads like a paint-dominant modern center: 15, 9, and 8 boards.

Outside of Game 2, Hart is vacuuming up an elite 10.7 rebounds per game on roughly 16 total rebound chances per night.

To put that in perspective, he is clearing roughly two-thirds of his available rebounding chances, matching the structural frontcourt giants like Karl-Anthony Towns (10.7) and Victor Wembanyama (10.5) step-for-step on the glass.

Hart will likely play his maximum allotment of minutes in a potential series-clinching road game. Because of this, we are executing a two-step escalator strategy.

Step one is taking Josh Hart Over 8.5 Rebounds (+105 at FanDuel), and playing that up to 10+ Rebounds (+170 at bet365). Giving us an extra 65 cents of profit for just one single additional board is a pricing error.

Step two is a long-shot flyer on Hart to finish as the Series Rebounds Leader at 25-1 (+2500) at DraftKings.

Right now, the leaderboard reads Towns at 43, Wembanyama at 42, and Hart at 38.

If the Spurs can fight off elimination tonight and drag this series back to New York for a Game 6 or 7, Hart may wind up stealing this if either of the true centers suffer a quiet game on the glass.

Pick: Josh Hart Over 8.5 Rebounds (+105) 


Knicks vs. Spurs Player Prop Bet: Dylan Harper

New York Knicks Logo
Saturday, June 13
8:30 p.m. ET
ABC
San Antonio Spurs Logo
Header First Logo

Dylan Harper Over 20.5 Points & Rebounds (-120)

Header Trailing Logo

Dylan Harper has established himself as the Spurs' second-best and most reliable player on the floor in these Finals.

Harper gets downhill to the rim at will, displays an excellent finishing package for a rookie, converts his perimeter looks, and makes disciplined defensive reads.

What makes his production even more impressive is that he is putting up elite numbers while being tied to San Antonio's struggling bench lineups.

Contrast that with De'Aaron Fox, who is carried by Wembanyama during his minutes and has still looked flat-out bad—laboring through a sub-95 offensive rating, a 45% true shooting percentage, and a negative BPM in the Finals.

To see the true value on Harper's combined combo line, you have to filter out the context of his injury against the Thunder in the previous round.

If you throw out that one week where he was clearly laboring through limited physical lift, his production baseline has been very steady.

Across his last 10 fully healthy postseason outings, Harper is averaging 17.0 points and 7.3 rebounds per game, equating to a 24.3 PR baseline.

He has cleared this 20.5 PR line in 8 of his last 10 healthy games, missing by a single bucket in the other two instances.

In fact, he has surpassed this combined total strictly on scoring output alone in three of those matchups.

I will be taking Harper Over 20.5 PR (-120 at Hard Rock), and if you are backing a desperate Spurs team to protect their home court and extend the series, jump on his alternate escalator of 30+ PR at a huge +526 price tag via DraftKings.

Pick: Dylan Harper Over 20.5 Points & Rebounds (-120) 


Knicks vs. Spurs Player Prop Bet: Landry Shamet

New York Knicks Logo
Saturday, June 13
8:30 p.m. ET
ABC
San Antonio Spurs Logo
Header First Logo

Landry Shamet Under 6.5 Points (-105)

Header Trailing Logo

I know I’ve been labeled a generational hater during this postseason, but it is time to face reality: the Landry Shamet show has officially reached its expiration date. It's time to pack him up in bubble wrap and put him away until next season.

Shamet was a postseason folk hero for the Knicks over the opening stretch of this series. In Games 1 and 2, he was operating on molten lava—logging 32 heavy minutes per game, launching 21 total field goals, and burying a ridiculous 64% of his three-point looks over a four-game sample to check in at 13 points in both contests.

But over the last two games, the Knicks have adjusted their perimeter rotations, and Shamet has come crashing back down to Earth.

Over his last two outings, his floor time has dried up to 22 minutes per game, his shooting has cratered to an ugly 1-of-11 from the field, and he has totaled just three points while posting a horrific minus-33 net rating when on the court.

One of the nice things about backing Shamet Under 6.5 Points (+100 at Caesars) is that it he hasn’t attempted a single free throw in the entirety of the Finals, and he is 0-of-2 on inside two-pointers over his last two games.

He pretty much strictly scores by hitting long-range jumpers. If he hits one single three-pointer in Game 5 and stays empty everywhere else, this under still cashes.

If you want to open up the mineshaft, head over to bet365 and take a stab at Under 3.5 Points (+355) as well.

Pick: Landry Shamet Under 6.5 Points (-105) 


Author Profile
About the Author

Brandon Anderson is a staff writer at the Action Network, specializing in NFL and NBA coverage. He provides weekly NFL power rankings and picks for every game, as well as contributing to NBA analysis, regularly appearing on the BUCKETS Podcast. With a deep background in sports betting and fantasy football, Brandon is known for spotting long-shot futures and writing for various outlets like Sports Illustrated, BetMGM, and more before joining the Action Network.

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