NBA Odds & Sharp Betting Pick for Pistons vs. Hawks: How Pros Are Finding Spread Value
Chris Schwegler/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Detroit Pistons’ Blake Griffin.
NBA Odds: Pistons vs. Hawks
|PRO Projection||ATL -3.3|
|Time||7:30 p.m. ET|
While it may not bring with it the hype of Mavs-Pacers or Celtics-Sixers, tonight’s Pistons-Hawks game does take the cake in at least one department.
As of writing, no game has reflected more betting value by the indicators on our PRO Report, as three such signals are all lit up on the same side. Let’s take a look.
Note: Odds, data as of 11:50 a.m. ET.
NBA Sharp Betting Pick: Pistons vs. Hawks
Big bets from sharps have been landing on the road underdog, and as a result have caused a significant line move. A PRO System suggests there’s reason to follow those big bets, too.
A two-point line move is notable in any case, but far more so when it comes in the direction of a side getting just 43% of bets. And that’s been the story with the Pistons tonight, who’ve moved from +6.5 to +4.5 despite their minority backing.
In itself, that relationship between betting percentages and line movement should tell you something about the type of bettor on the Detroit side. And Action Labs’ Bet Signals confirm the indication.
They’ve already been triggered seven times on the Pistons, indicating seven instances of market-wide line movement coming specifically as a result of sharp action.
Sharp Action edge: Pistons
Also serving to reveal a sharp backing of Detroit, the 43% backing has generated 69% of actual money hitting this spread. Of course, a monetary liability is always going to be of note to sportsbooks, but in this case, it’s the discrepancy between bets and dollars that’s more telling.
That discrepancy suggests bigger bettors are taking Detroit. And which bettors are more likely to be making those bigger bets? Sharps.
Big Money edge: Pistons
And while it’s certainly nice to know that sharps are on a given side, in this case, our “NBA Tickets vs. Money” PRO System is also able to provide a historically profitable backlog for teams generating this sort of market action.
It’s hit at a 55% rate since 2015 (when we began collecting money percentage data) on a sample of more than 600 games.
PRO Systems edge: Pistons