Suns vs. Bucks NBA Finals Game 3 Parlay: How to Back Brook Lopez & Mikal Bridges (July 11)
Nathaniel S. Butler/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Mikal Bridges.
- The NBA Finals resume on Sunday with Game 3 between the Bucks and Suns.
- Roberto Arguello has a Same Game Parlay that pays out +232 if it hits.
- See how he's betting Brook Lopez and Mikal Bridges, below.
|Moneyline||+158 / -190|
|Time||8 p.m. ET|
|Odds as of Saturday and via FanDuel.|
The Suns protected home court with a pair of double-digit wins over the Bucks in the first two games of the NBA Finals.
Chris Paul and Devin Booker were incredible at home as the series now shifts to Milwaukee where Game 3 is a must-win for the Bucks.
Giannis Antetokounmpo played in Game 1 after his status was uncertain heading into the series with a left knee hyperextension. He was an efficient scorer in both games, but he dominated in Game 2 as he scored a game-high 42 points.
Antetokounmpo’s 20 points in the third quarter were the most in any NBA Finals game since player tracking began in 1997. He and the Bucks are favored to win Game 3, and I will be betting this Same Game Parlay at +232 from FanDuel.
Brook Lopez Over 5.5 Rebounds (-122)
The Bucks have played Lopez less frequently this series than they have compared to the rest of the playoffs, but I expect him to get more run in Game 3.
So far in this series, the Bucks have been at their best with their starters on the court. In the 21 minutes the Bucks starters have played together, they have outscored the Suns by 21 points. In the other 75 minutes of this series, they have been outscored by 32 points.
I'm more upset with Bud now than I was on Thursday. Bucks starters logged 21 Finals minutes and are +9 in them, its by far their best lineup. 9 of those 21 mins have come in 1st quarters. PLAY THE STARTERS.
Brook Lopez appears in 3 of the 4 best Bucks Finals lineups. PLAY BROOK.
— Ti Windisch (@TiWindisch) July 10, 2021
The Bucks are at their best in their base drop defense with Lopez on the court, with him playing slightly higher up than normal to prevent the Suns from stepping into comfortable midrange shots. The Bucks did a better job of limiting Lopez’s defensive isolations on Suns guards in Game 2 by switching 1-4 (instead of allowing Paul and Booker to isolate against him on switches like they did frequently in Game 1).
Lopez played slightly fewer minutes than normal in Game 2 (28 minutes) as Pat Connaughton started off hot from beyond the arc, and coach Mike Budenholzer gave him fourth-quarter minutes over Lopez.
I expect Lopez to play more frequently in Game 3 as he plays a key role in anchoring the Bucks’ defense, limiting Ayton’s impact on the glass, and also adding another versatile offensive weapon. With Lopez switching less frequently and staying more in his drop in Game 2, he increased his rebounds from six in Game 1 to nine in Game 2.
Expect him to be a force on the boards in Game 3 and easily grab six boards for this prop to hit. I love the value at Over 5.5 rebounds at -115 with value up to -150, and I will bet this up to Over 6.5 rebounds at -120 or better.
Mikal Bridges Over 12.5 Points (-116)
The Bucks should go all-out in trying to limit Paul and Booker’s scoring ability and Ayton’s impact at the rim in Game 3, and this will yield value on Bridges going over this modest point total.
The Bucks played better defense in Game 2 than Game 1, but they did continue to over-help at times on drives which will continue to give perimeter players like Bridges open opportunities from beyond the arc.
Despite dropping 27 points in Game 2, Bridges remains an underrated scorer. He can knock down 3s, midrange jumpers, and get to the rim, and he showed off his entire repertoire in Game 2.
After a down series against the Clippers where he noted that he wasn’t aggressive enough against their active switching defense, his 27-point eruption was a great sign for him and the Suns moving forward.
Bridges is an underrated three-level scorer whom the Bucks are allowing the Suns to shoot with their scheme, and after scoring 14 and 27 points in the first two games, I love the value of him getting 13 or more points in Game 3.
Bridges is good enough to continue scoring efficiently on the road, and I will bet the Over on his scoring total up to 14 points at -120 or better. I also like his scoring total at Over 12.5 up to -140.