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NBA Picks, Predictions: Situational Trend, 3 Player Props, Spread & Total Bets for Thursday

NBA Picks, Predictions: Situational Trend, 3 Player Props, Spread & Total Bets for Thursday article feature image
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Action Network/Imagn Images: Mitchell Robinson, Devin Booker, Nikola Jokic, Jarrett Allen

The NBA regular season is back in action with an excellent slate of games this Thursday, with a total of 10 matchups on the docket scheduled for tonight. So, our staff of basketball betting experts dug into the latest odds and identified NBA picks for six of today's contests.

Continue below for our NBA picks, odds, props, and predictions for Thursday, February 19.

NBA Picks, Predictions for Thursday, February 19

GameTime (ET)Pick
Detroit Pistons LogoNew York Knicks Logo
7:30 p.m.
Atlanta Hawks LogoPhiladelphia 76ers Logo
7 p.m.
Phoenix Suns LogoSan Antonio Spurs Logo
8:30 p.m.
Brooklyn Nets LogoCleveland Cavaliers Logo
7 p.m.
Boston Celtics LogoGolden State Warriors Logo
10 p.m.
Denver Nuggets LogoLos Angeles Clippers Logo
10:30 p.m.
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

Pistons vs. Knicks Prop Bet

Detroit Pistons Logo
Thursday, Feb. 19
7:30 p.m. ET
Amazon Prime Video
New York Knicks Logo
Mitchell Robinson Over 7.5 Rebounds (+120)
bet365 Logo

By Joe Dellera

The Knicks face off against the Pistons coming out of the All-Star Break, and I’m targeting the big dog for New York in this spot.

The Pistons are a strong rebounding team; however, they will be without key bigs Jalen Duren and Isaiah Stewart for this contest.

Mitchell Robinson is a monster on the glass. He averages nine rebounds per game and has cleared this mark in 62.5% of games this season.

This game against the Pistons should be competitive, so I’d expect Mitch to see his typical rotation here.

Given the lack of true bigs outside of Paul Reed, this is an excellent spot for Robinson to grab boards.

Pick: Mitchell Robinson Over 7.5 Rebounds (+120)



Playbook

Hawks vs. 76ers Player Prop Pick

Atlanta Hawks Logo
Thursday, Feb. 19
7 p.m. ET
NBA League Pass
Philadelphia 76ers Logo
Adem Bona Under 14.5 Points & Rebounds (-115)
bet365 Logo

By Charlie Wright

Adem Bona might draw the start with Joel Embiid out for the 76ers tonight, but his playing time is far from secure.

Bona started in the final game before the break and played 23 minutes. Trendon Watford played 25 minutes, while Andre Drummond, Johni Broome, and Charles Bassey all saw minutes off the bench.

Broome very well may be playing in the G League tonight, but there are plenty of other options to eat into Bona's playing time.

He's only averaged 20 minutes per game in his four starts this year, averaging 4.8 points and four rebounds per game in those spots.

Pick: Adem Bona Under 14.5 Points & Rebounds (-115)



Suns vs. Spurs Spread Prediction

Phoenix Suns Logo
Thursday, Feb. 19
8:30 p.m. ET
NBA League Pass
San Antonio Spurs Logo
Suns +7.5 (-110)
bet365 Logo

By Matt Moore

The market line based on aggregate power ratings for this, with a standard 2.5-point homecourt advantage, is Spurs -7.8, so right around this number.

My problem is that the market has been behind on the Suns all year, and they are as healthy as they’ve been at any point right now.

San Antonio’s entire build is a little odd. But one thing that sticks out is that they are below league-average in three-point percentage and three-pointers per game.

The Suns are 15-1 ATS against teams that are below league average in both of those categories this season.

The Spurs are 15-10 ATS at home this season, but they only have a +0.4 ATS differential; they probably shouldn’t have covered all the ones they did.

The spread for this game is almost two possessions, and I make this line Spurs -3.3.

The Suns have Devin Booker and Jalen Green back for just the 7th time this season, and Phoenix is 4-2 SU and ATS with those two in the lineup.

Dillon Brooks is out due to a suspension, but my numbers only have Brooks, surprisingly, worth about a half-point to the spread.

The Suns are good in the paint, ranked 11th per game in scoring down low. San Antonio is 9-13 ATS this season against teams that rank top-15 in points in the paint.

I’ll bank on the Suns once again beating the market and keeping this game close until late.

Pick: Suns +7.5 (-110)



Nets vs. Cavaliers Player Prop Bet

Brooklyn Nets Logo
Thursday, Feb. 19
7 p.m. ET
NBA League Pass
Cleveland Cavaliers Logo
Jarrett Allen Over 14.5 Points (-112)
bet365 Logo

By Charlie Wright

I'm going right back to Jarrett Allen after he came through for us in Cleveland's final game before the break.

He's scored 21+ points in all three games with James Harden.

Brooklyn allows the 6th-most points in the paint per game and the 7th-highest assisted field goal rate.

A blowout is a concern, but he got there in 27 minutes last time out.

Pick: Jarrett Allen Over 14.5 Points (-112)



Celtics vs. Warriors Total Prediction

Boston Celtics Logo
Thursday, Feb. 19
10 p.m. ET
Amazon Prime Video
Golden State Warriors Logo
Under 212.5 (-110)
bet365 Logo

By Bet Labs

This NBA totals betting system targets regular season games where betting action and market movement are misaligned.

When a majority of wagers lean heavily toward the Over yet the total drops from open to close, it signals sharp money driving the line down despite public sentiment.

In these spots, both teams often come off recent games that exceeded expectations offensively, inflating totals and public confidence in high scoring outcomes.

However, regression and defensive adjustments tend to follow, especially when oddsmakers shade lines higher to match demand.

This setup creates ideal conditions for value on the Under, as professional bettors anticipate slower pace, shooting variance, or fatigue leading to lower scoring than the market expects.

NBA Icon
Evan Abrams – Reverse Line Movement Unders
the over/under % is between 0% and 40%
betting on the Under
the game is played during the Regular season
the visitor's previous game OU margin is between 0 and 1000
the home team's previous game OU margin is between 0 and 1000
the o/u change from open to close is between -100 and -1
$2,933
WON
640-574-12
RECORD
53%
WIN%

Pick: Under 212.5 (-110)



Nuggets vs. Clippers ATS Pick

Denver Nuggets Logo
Thursday, Feb. 19
10:30 p.m. ET
NBA League Pass
Los Angeles Clippers Logo
Nuggets -4 (-115)
bet365 Logo

By Bet Labs

This NBA spread betting system identifies value in conference games where favorites are struggling but still favored by the market.

When a team has recently underperformed yet remains favored, it suggests the betting line reflects long term strength rather than short term results.

These situations often create buying opportunities on quality teams that are due for positive regression after a rough stretch.

Facing familiar conference opponents adds familiarity and stability to performance expectations, while moderate spreads and balanced totals keep volatility in check.

This approach capitalizes on the overreaction to recent form, betting on strong teams to rebound once market sentiment has dipped too far against them.

NBA Icon
Evan Abrams – Bet Struggling Favorites
the team's 5 Game recent win percentage is between 0% and 40%
the game is a Conference game
the spread is between -9.5 and 0
the team's win percent differential is between -100 and -10
the spread % is between 0% and 79%
the closing total is between 210 and 235.5
the team's game number is between 26 and 1000
$5,487
WON
334-258-5
RECORD
56%
WIN%

Pick: Nuggets -4 (-115)



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