NBA Playoff PrizePicks: Target Josh Hart, Andrew Wiggins Rebounds Monday (May 8)
Andrew D. Bernstein/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Andrew Wiggins #22 of the Golden State Warriors during the 2023 NBA Playoffs.
Tonight we have a pair of awesome Game 4s that are crucial with the opportunity for teams to either go up 3-1 or for the series to be tied 2-2. We’re looking at rebounds for two role players in our Monday PrizePicks plays tonight.
A quick refresher if you aren’t familiar with PrizePicks: you can combine up to five different player squares to payout up to 10x your entry.
You can do a Flex Play or a Power Play. A Flex Play gives you lesser odds, but you can win money if you do not nail every pick. A Power Play is all-or-nothing.
Here’s how I would approach today’s slate in NBA Playoffs slate.
What is PrizePicks? A daily fantasy operator — meaning they’re available in more states (30) than sports betting is! — PrizePicks offers a unique opportunity for action on player squares in which you parlay two or more plays together.
Josh Hart More Than 11.5 Rebounds + Assists
The total in the first three games in the Knicks-Heat series has averaged 205.3 points with a high of 216 points. Tonight’s total is set at 206, indicating that the oddsmakers are anticipating another low-scoring game. Defensive battles provide a lot of opportunities for rebounds and one player who has been pulling them down is Josh Hart.
The Knicks guard is averaging 8.8 rebounds this postseason. He has had eight rebounds in five of eight games this postseason and four games with double digits. Per NBA Stats, Hart is averaging 15.5 rebound chances per game and converting 56.5% of them. In the first three games against Miami, Hart is averaging 10.3 rebounds on 19 rebound chances per game.
However, Hart is also a solid secondary playmaker and that has continued since coming over to the Knicks. Hart has had two assists in six games in the playoffs and he is averaging five assists per game in this series. Hart is averaging 5.6 potential assists per game in the postseason, though he may get a few more as the Knicks will likely be without backup point guard Immanuel Quickley.
Combined, Hart is averaging 11.5 rebounds + assists this postseason. He has surpassed this projection in five of eight playoff games and averaging 11.5 rebounds + assists. He has surpassed this projection in each of the last four games, upping his average to 15.3 against Miami. Hart is comfortably clearing this projection in this series and I do not anticipate that changing on Monday night.
Andrew Wiggins More Than 6 Rebounds
Kevon Looney has been the leading rebounder in the playoffs, averaging 14.7 per game. In game one against the Lakers, he pulled down 23 in just 29 minutes. However, Looney was limited to just 12 minutes by an illness in game two and he played 16 minutes in game three. Additionally, the Warriors run at the end of the game was fueled by playing smaller with Looney on the bench.
One player who has had to contribute more on the glass in the Warriors smaller lineups is Andrew Wiggins. In the last two games, Wiggins is averaging 6.5 rebounds per game with nine coming in game three. That was good enough to surpass this projection despite the game turning into a blowout. He has averaged 9.5 rebound chances in the last two games and converted 68% of them.
Wiggins had already been doing solid work on the glass prior to the last two games. He has now surpassed this projection in six of his last games. In five of those games, he had at least seven rebounds. The Warriors will need another big performance from him on the glass on tonight.
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