Saturday NBA Odds, Predictions for Pacers vs. Spurs: A 64% Profitable, 25% ROI Spread Pick (March 12)

Pacers vs. Spurs Odds

The Action Network has found a 64% successful historically-profitable betting system that fits the parameters for Saturday night's game between the Pacers and Spurs.

This system has had a 25% return on investment since 2005. Of course, anything above 0% is an ROI win.

Since 2005, if you had wagered $100 on the roughly seven NBA games per year that have fit this algorithm, you'd be up about $2,700.

That's a solid 64% win rate over a lengthy sample size. For reference, a success rate of 52.5% is enough to turn a profit.

The betting system is 3-0-1 so far this season, with only about two or three more picks remaining.

Read further to see what the system is, the theory behind it and how to incorporate it for this 8 p.m. ET tipoff.

Pacers vs. Spurs 64% ATS Betting System Pick

This betting system targets road teams that have had four or more days of rest and are playing against a tired squad.

The home opponent must be coming off of a back-to-back or have only one day of rest. In addition, the opponent needs to have played four games over the last seven days.

The Spurs have done just that. They played Friday night against the Jazz and have played four games over the last seven days. It doesn't help that last night was a particularly draining affair in which Gregg Popovich passed Don Nelson as the winningest coach in NBA history.

The game in question must also occur after the New Year because rest becomes more vital later on in the season.

All of these parameters fit the Pacers' spread on Saturday night. It's been four days since Indiana has suited up. Meanwhile, the Spurs are tired.

As aforementioned, this betting system has gone 3-0-1 this season.

• Tuesday, Feb. 7: Warriors 110, Thunder 98. The Thunder had played four games in seven days. The Warriors, the road team, hadn't played in four days. Warriors -12 (push)
• Sunday, Feb. 5: Bucks 137, Blazers 108. The Blazers were coming off a back-to-back and had played four games in seven days. The Bucks, the road team, hadn't played in four days. Bucks -10.5.
• Sunday, Jan. 16: Jazz 125, Nuggets 102. The Nuggets were coming off a back-to-back and had played four games in seven days. The Jazz, the road team, hadn't played in four days. Jazz -5.5.
• Saturday, Jan. 1: Warriors 123, Jazz 116. The Jazz were coming off a back-to-back and had played four games in seven days. The Warriors, the road team, hadn't played in four days. Warriors +5.

This system has a 25% return on investment over a lengthy sample size, but it only applies to about six to seven NBA games per year. This might be an opportunity to cash in, but keep in mind — this is a long-term investment.

In order to maximize your 25% ROI, make sure to follow through whenever this system provides picks for the rest of the season.

Sharp Angle: Pacers +5.5 or better