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The Golden State Warriors and Los Angeles Lakers will clash in the NBA preseason tonight. Tipoff is set for 10:00 p.m. ET from T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. The game will broadcast live on NBA TV.
The Lakers are 4.5-point favorites over the Warriors on the spread, with the over/under set at 227.5 total points. The Lakers are -184 moneyline favorites to win outright, while the Warriors are listed as +148 underdogs to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Warriors vs. Lakers predictions and NBA picks for Tuesday, October 13.
Warriors vs Lakers Prediction
- Warriors vs Lakers pick: Warriors +4.5 (-105)
My Warriors vs. Lakers best bet is Golden State to cover the spread (+4.5), with the best price currently available at FanDuel. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
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Warriors vs Lakers Odds
| Warriors Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+4.5 -105 | 227.5 -118o / -106u | +148 |
| Lakers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-4.5 -115 | 227.5 -118o / -106u | -184 |
- Warriors vs Lakers spread: Lakers -4.5 (-115), Warriors +4.5 (-105)
- Warriors vs Lakers over/under: 227.5 (-118o / -106u)
- Warriors vs Lakers moneyline: Warriors +148, Lakers -184
Warriors vs Lakers NBA Preview
The Warriors head to Las Vegas as 4.5-point underdogs despite blowing out these same Lakers 124-98 just last Tuesday.
The Warriors are coming off a disappointing 2025-26 season where they finished 10th in the Western Conference with a 37-45 record. Golden State struggled with consistency last year, posting a negative Net Rating (-0.6) and a middle-of-the-pack Offensive Rating (115.0).
This exact profile triggers our Bet Labs system titled "Key 'Dogs, No Pedigree (Preseason)."
The market is fading the Warriors because they lack recent regular-season pedigree, having finished well below the 50-win threshold. However, exhibition play diminishes the importance of historical success.
Golden State has already proven they can beat Los Angeles handily in this preseason setting when rotation limits tend to compress the talent gap.
The Lakers are favored in this spot largely due to their overall pedigree. They posted a strong 53-29 campaign last year, which secured them the 4th seed in the Western Conference, and their offense was elite, generating 116.3 points per game alongside a 118.2 Offensive Rating.
While the Lakers carry stronger recent pedigree and significant public backing, preseason environments tend to dilute the top-end talent advantage. Starters rarely play full minutes, pushing the burden of covering a sizable spread onto the end of the bench.
The market is placing too much weight on the Lakers' regular-season reputation, completely ignoring the fact that their depth was thoroughly exposed by Golden State (124-98) just a week ago.
Warriors vs Lakers Pick, Betting Analysis
Our Key 'Dogs, No Pedigree (Preseason) Bet Labs system thrives in spots where the betting public blindly backs the superior regular-season team.
The Lakers won 53 games last year, while the Warriors won only 37, naturally pushing the line to Lakers -4.5. But in a preseason environment governed by unpredictable rotations and restricted starter minutes, taking the points with a capable underdog is likely the better play.
Golden State already dismantled Los Angeles by 26 points earlier this preseason, proving that last year's regular-season metrics don't matter when the end of the bench is logging heavy minutes.
Pick: Warriors +4.5 (-105)

















