The Auburn Tigers take on the Alabama Crimson Tide in Tuscaloosa, AL. Tip-off is set for 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.
Alabama is favored by 8.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -325. The total is set at 176.5 points.
Here’s my Auburn vs. Alabama predictions and college basketball picks for March 7, 2026.
Auburn vs Alabama Prediction
My Pick: Over 176.5
My Auburn vs Alabama best bet is on the over. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Auburn vs. Alabama Odds
| Auburn Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+8.5 -115 | 176.5 -105 / -115 | +260 |
| Alabama Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-8.5 -105 | 176.5 -105 / -115 | -325 |
- Auburn vs Alabama spread: Alabama -8.5
- Auburn vs Alabama over/under: 176.5 points
- Auburn vs Alabama moneyline: Auburn +260, Alabama -325
Auburn vs Alabama College Basketball Betting Preview
Auburn Basketball
Auburn is coming off an 88-74 win against LSU and now sits at 16-14 overall and 7-10 in the SEC.
At one point this season, Auburn was 14-7 with wins over Arkansas and Florida. Since starting 14-7, the Tigers have lost seven of their last nine.
Over their last nine games, the Tigers rank 35th in offensive efficiency with the eighth-highest offensive rebounding percentage in the country. But defensively, they're 354th in effective field goal defense (58.9%) and are allowing 43.8% from deep.
Auburn has been good at forcing turnovers in SEC play, maintaining a turnover rate of 15.9% (2nd). In the Tigers' first matchup against Alabama, they were able to score 20 points off of 14 turnovers.
Tahaad Pettiford is averaging 25.5 points on 63% shooting in the last two games after scoring fewer than 10 points in the previous two. Pettiford has been inconsistent all season and has had the same amount of 20+ point games as single-digit outings (11).
For Auburn to upset its rival on the road, it'll need the same Pettiford that scored 25 points in the first matchup.
Alabama Basketball
Alabama had its eight game winning streak snapped with its loss to Georgia and come into the final game of the season at 22-8 overall and 12-5 in the SEC.
All season the Tide's offense has been explosive, ranking in the top five in offensive efficiency and tempo.
With the four best teams in college basketball relying on their frontcourt, Nate Oats continues to live and die by the 3-pointer, with Alabama shooting a 3 on 54.4% of its possessions.
The Tide's offensive success comes out of their ball-screen actions, whether it's a shooter spotting up, ball-handler trying to score or the roll man being free after setting the screen.
Alabama's pick-and-roll ball-handler ranks in the 99th percentile in points per possession this season (1.027PPP), shooting 50% from the field and 39% from 3 with 77.4% of possessions being led by Labaron Philon Jr. and Aden Holloway.
In the first meeting against Auburn, Philon and Holloway combined for 40 points on 12-of-27 from the field, 4-of-9 from 3.
Latrell Wrightsell scored five points and played a season-low 11 minutes against Auburn the first time around due to Charles Bediako taking minutes. Since then, he's averaging 17.5 points in 30 minutes per game over his last seven.
Auburn vs. Alabama Betting Analysis
This Auburn defense can't stop a parked car right now, as Steven Pearl continues to search for answers as we wrap up the season.
Auburn has the second worst 3-point defense in its last 11 games and have to go on the road to guard an Alabama offense that's shooting 39% from 3 with 57% of its possessions resulting in a 3-point attempt in its last 10 games.
When Auburn does make a defensive stop, it's usually a forced turnover that allows it to score in transition.
Both of these teams are ranked in the top 12 in offensive efficiency this season and scored a total of 188 points back on February 7.
We may see more than that this time around.
My Pick: Over 176.5
