Baylor vs. North Carolina NCAA Tournament Odds, Projections for March Madness 2022
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- No. 1 Baylor takes on No. 8 North Carolina on Saturday in the second round of the NCAA Tournament.
- The Bears easily beat Norfolk State on Thursday, while the Tar Heels dispatched of Marquette with ease.
- Continue reading for the betting odds and our projections for this matchup.
Baylor vs. North Carolina Odds
| Baylor Odds | -5.5 | |
| North Carolina Odds | +5.5 | |
| Over/Under | 148 | |
| Date/Time | Saturday, 12:10 p.m. ET | |
| Spread and over/under via FanDuel. Find more March Madness odds here | ||
The madness marches on as we roll into the second round of the 2022 NCAA Tournament, featuring No. 1 Baylor against No. 8 North Carolina. Find our expert's projected odds and more about how these teams match up ahead of the Round of 32 below.
Projected Baylor vs. North Carolina Odds
| Projected Baylor Odds | -6 | |
| Projected North Carolina Odds | +6 | |
| Projected Over/Under | 144.9 | |
| March Madness projections as of Selection Sunday. Find the latest NCAA Tournament projections here. | ||
Baylor vs. North Carolina Matchup Matrix
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Baylor and North Carolina match up statistically. Data via KenPom as of Sunday, March 13:
Baylor Offense vs. North Carolina Defense
 |  Offense |  Defense |  Edge |
| eFG% | 56 | 169 | |
| Turnover % | 161 | 347 | |
| Rebound Rate | 7 | 2 |  |
| Free Throw Rate | 231 | 9 | |
North Carolina Offense vs. Baylor Defense
| Offense | Defense | Edge |
| eFG% | 73 | 78 | |
| Turnover % | 56 | 17 | |
| Rebound Rate | 106 | 196 | |
| Free Throw Rate | 187 | 89 | |
Pace of Play
| | |
| Tempo | 169 | 38 |
More About Baylor
Doug Ziefel: Ending the year with a share of the regular-season Big 12 title is a significant victory for a team that was all but written off heading into March.
The Bears were once the clear-cut best team in the nation, as they rattled off 15 straight wins to begin the season. Unfortunately, they then dropped two games in a row, were hit by the injury bug and had multiple key pieces miss time.
Despite all the adversity, the Bears adapted and won five straight to end the regular season, including a massive victory over Kansas at home.
Scott Drew & Co. still have what it takes to compete despite their early exit from the Big 12 Tournament.
More About North Carolina
Kody Malstrom: North Carolina is one of the biggest wildcards in all of college basketball this season.
Winning at Cameron Indoor in Coach K’s last home game was impressive, but dominating the game (per ShotQuality) is even more stunning. The Hells are a talented team, but what makes that result shocking is how their defense performed. Sure, Paolo Banchero had a layup drill anytime he had one-on-one coverage, but that’s the price to pay if it means limiting Duke’s other weapons.
This is still a scorching hot, high-powered North Carolina offense that can shoot its way to a run — or shoot itself into an early exit in a tournament. The Heels can keep up the scoring pace with the best of them, as they rank high in the nation in adjusted offensive efficiency.
If the defense can continue to help the offense, North Carolina becomes an intriguing futures piece.
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