If you want more Action Network content, be sure to add us as a preferred source on Google.
The Cincinnati Bearcats take on the Dayton Flyers in Dayton, Ohio. Tip-off is set for 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
Cincinnati is favored by 6.5 points on the spread and -295 on the moneyline. The total is set at 147.5 points.
Here’s my Cincinnati vs. Dayton prediction and college basketball picks for November 14, 2026.
Cincinnati vs Dayton Prediction
Pick: Cincinnati -7.5
My Cincinnati vs Dayton best bet is on the Bearcats to cover. Be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page and download the Action Network app for the latest picks and analysis.
Cincinnati vs Dayton Odds
| Cincinnati Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7.5 -102 | 147.5 -110o / -110u | -295 |
| Dayton Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7.5 -120 | 147.5 -110o / -110u | +235 |
- Cincinnati vs Dayton spread: Cincinnati -7.5 (-102), Dayton +7.5 (-120)
- Cincinnati vs Dayton over/under: 147.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Cincinnati vs Dayton moneyline: Cincinnati -295, Dayton +235
Cincinnati vs Dayton College Basketball Preview
Cincinnati Basketball
Jerrod Calhoun earned the Cincinnati job after two pretty remarkable years at Utah State. He led the Aggies to back-to-back tournament appearances, and his roster makeup for his first season at Cincinnati is similar.
This team returned virtually no production from a season ago.
The Bearcats opened the season with two convincing wins against the Patriot League’s American and the Horizon’s Green Bay. Then they lost on a buzzer-beating 3-point shot against Minnesota.
Through three games, it’s clear that their focus will be defense, as they are currently ranked top-15 in defensive efficiency.
Their best portal addition was Myles Colvin, but the transfer from Wake Forest is averaging just 12 points per game.
The Bearcats are projected to finish outside the top eight in the Big 12, but Calhoun has taught us not to undervalue his team.
Dayton Basketball
Dayton opened the preseason ranked 64th in KenPom, but after two straight losses to Northern Illinois and Siena, both at home, the Flyers have fallen to 114th.
Unlike Cincinnati, it’s their offense that's their identity. They scored 89 points in their lone win, followed by 76 and 89, respectively, in their losses.
Surprisingly, the team's leader is the freshman Aidan Derkac, who's averaging 22 points and 10.3 rebounds per game.
This Dayton team has four players averaging double digits in scoring, but the Flyers' lack of defensive efficiency is worrisome. They allow teams to beat them with speed offensively.
Dayton needs every win it can get, especially with its non-conference slate only getting tougher as November wears on.
Cincinnati vs Dayton Pick, Betting Analysis
Here’s my biggest issue with taking points with Dayton, even on its home court: Cincinnati's defense. Dayton likes to play at a fast tempo offensively, ranking near the top of the sport in possession length.
Cincinnati also plays comparably offensively. But the big difference here is that the Bearcats apply so much pressure that they make every shot tougher.
Cincinnati is near the top in terms of defensive possession length, meaning poor shots tend to stack up for the opponent. And Dayton thrives on open looks, something the Flyers won't get much against the Bearcats.
I hate laying points, especially on the road, but I think Cincinnati wins by a margin, although I wouldn’t necessarily lay a lot more than the current line.
Pick: Cincinnati -7.5
