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The Colorado Buffaloes take on the Providence Friars in Providence, RI. Tip-off is set for 6 p.m. ET on Peacock/NBCSN.
Providence is favored by -9.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -490. The total is set at 155.5 points.
Here’s my Colorado vs. Providence prediction and college basketball picks for November 14, 2026.
Colorado vs Providence Prediction
Pick: Providence -9.5
My Colorado vs Providence best bet is on the Friars to cover the spread. Be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page and download the Action Network app for the latest picks and analysis.
Colorado vs Providence Odds
| Colorado Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+9.5 -110 | 155.5 -110o / -110u | +365 |
| Providence Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-9.5 -110 | 155.5 -110o / -110u | -490 |
- Colorado vs Providence spread: Colorado +9.5 (-110), Providence -9.5 (-110)
- Colorado vs Providence over/under: 155.5 (-110 / -110)
- Colorado vs Providence moneyline: Colorado +365, Providence -490
Colorado vs Providence College Basketball Preview
Colorado Basketball
It’s been a downward trajectory for Colorado over the past two seasons. The Buffaloes won 14 and 17 games and are picked near the bottom of the Big 12 this season.
The key for Colorado so far? Shooting. The Buffaloes are taking more 3s, attempting them on 45% of their field goals and hitting 42% of them (21st).
I’m not sure I buy into the 3-point percentage, though. Only two Buffs are strong shooters: Barrington Hargress and Ian Inman. Hargress leads the team with 20 points per game but six of his 3s this season came in one game; the same applies to Inman, who drilled eight 3s in Colorado’s last game.
Defense has been the calling card for Colorado in the early going, ranking 69th in efficiency on that end of the floor. The Buffs are holding opponents to just 46% shooting on 2s, while collecting 75.2% of missed shots.
I’ll be monitoring how much of those are matchup-related, as none of Colorado’s three opponents are better than 70th in offensive efficiency, per KenPom.
Aussie point guard Alex Dickeson is Colorado’s X-factor. Dickeson leads Colorado in rebounding (7.0), while pitching in 3.4 assists per game. His ability to play on the ball allows Hargress to get some looks off the ball.
One concern to me is Colorado’s interior. Starting at the five is Noah Feddersen, a 6-foot-10 big man who averages 7.0 points and 5.3 rebounds per game. He’s not much of a floor stretcher and can struggle to defend more physical opponents.
It hasn’t stung Colorado yet, but it could.
Providence Basketball
Providence is 2-1 so far this season and lost to Nebraska in its only high-major matchup this season. That was an ugly game for the Friars, as they went 7-for-38 from downtown. Shooting below 20% from 3 against a KenPom top-15 team isn’t exactly a winning formula.
Shooting will determine how good Providence is in Bryan Hodgson’s first season. Each of his three prior teams (Arkansas State and USF) attempted 3s at least 42% of the time. So, the Friars will let them fly, but can they make them? I think they will eventually.
The Friars big three should consist of Miles Byrd, Devin Vanterpool and Malik Mack. Byrd is streaky; he’s a capable shooter but made just 30% from 3 the last two seasons. Meanwhile, Mack hit 35% at Georgetown two seasons ago and Vanterpool hit 35% at FAU last season.
Those three joining a more offensive-friendly system should lead to them shooting better. Just look at their prior stops — San Diego State ran an archaic offense when Byrd was there, Mack was on a bad Georgetown team and Vanterpool struggled with shot selection.
I’ll buy stock in the Friars shooting better than 26% from 3.
The Friars' defense looks strong thus far — they rank 29th in defensive efficiency and rank second in the country with a 29.6% turnover rate. Plus, they’re 30th in defensive rebound rate.
On the downside, teams are shooting a strong 54% on 2s against them.
Bigger teams can exploit Providence’s lack of rim deterrence, but I’m not sure Colorado can.
Colorado vs Providence Pick, Betting Analysis
I don’t view this Colorado team highly. It’s a long road trip to the Northeast, and I think both teams are due for shooting regression — positive on the Friars side, and negative on Colorado’s side.
Moreover, Colorado is turning the ball over 18% of the time, which should allow the Friars to pressure and get running in transition.
If this is a full-court game, Colorado won’t stand a chance.
Lay the points with the home team.
Pick: Providence -9.5
