The Davidson Wildcats take on the Dayton Flyers in Dayton, Ohio. Tip-off is set for 4 p.m. ET on ESPN2.
Dayton is favored by 3.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -210. The total is set at 139.5 points.
Here’s my Davidson vs. Dayton prediction and college basketball picks for February 15, 2026.
Davidson vs Dayton Prediction
My Pick: Davidson +3.5
My Davidson vs Dayton best bet is on the Wildcats to cover the spread. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Davidson vs. Dayton Odds
| Davidson Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -102 | 139.5 -110 / -110 | +172 |
| Dayton Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -120 | 139.5 -110 / -110 | -210 |
- Davidson vs Dayton spread: Dayton -3.5
- Davidson vs Dayton over/under: 139.5 points
- Davidson vs Dayton moneyline: Davidson +172, Dayton -210
Davidson vs Dayton College Basketball Betting Preview
Davidson and Dayton – similarly named teams going dissimilar ways.
The Wildcats have been pretty darn solid lately. Over their past seven games, they’re 4-3 straight up and 3-2-2 against the spread, but those non-covers were by 0.5 and one point, respectively.
The Cats led Saint Louis by 13 and smoked Richmond and Loyola.
On the flip side, Dayton has been floundering. The Flyers have lost five of six and are 0-6 ATS over that span. Fans are growing tired of Anthony Grant, and it appears a coaching change is on the horizon this offseason.
You need to be able to handle the rock against Dayton, which turns teams over at a top-10 national rate with its big guards and wings — plus feisty on-ball menace Javon Bennett. Davidson has been much better taking care of the ball in A-10 play – 6-foot-3 guard Sam Brown, in particular, has been a steadying presence.
Shooting is Davidson’s strength – it takes a ton of 3s, scorches the nets and has multiple perimeter weapons. Dayton allows a lot of triples (13th in the A-10 in 3-point attempt rate allowed) and is susceptible to getting burned from deep.
The Cats use heavy motion in their half-court-centric attack, with handoffs galore. Post touches to undersized big Josh Scovens are a regular occurrence, all in an effort to get clean looks from the outside.
Per Synergy, Davidson is scoring 1.20 points per possession (PPP) on spot-ups this season, which ranks in the 99th percentile in the country. Dayton has allowed 1.020 PPP on spot-ups, which is good for the 15th percentile nationally.
Meanwhile, the Flyers’ offense has been awful in league play, ranking 11th in adjusted offensive efficiency, per KenPom. They can't take full advantage of a poor-ish Davidson defense, and the Wildcats should be able to turn the Flyers over.
Even though Sean Logan – one of the best shot blockers in the country – lurks inside, the Cats are vulnerable in the paint and at the rim. Dayton’s greatest hope for points in this game is barraging the rim and getting to the foul line.
Transition has been a key part of its offense – particularly off turnovers – but Davidson has allowed one of the lowest transition rates in the country.
If the Cats take care of the rock, open floor opportunities will be few and far between.
On Sunday, we'll roll with the better current form squad.
And we'll also trust our Action PRO projections, which has this spread at +2 rather than the +3.5 line that's currently being offered at the time of writing.
My Pick: Davidson +3.5
