The Indiana Hoosiers take on the Maryland Terrapins in College Park, MD. Tip-off is set for 6:30 p.m. ET on BTN.
Indiana is favored by 8 points on the spread with a moneyline of -380. The total is set at 147.5 points.
Here’s my Indiana vs. Maryland predictions and college basketball picks for January 7, 2026.
Indiana vs Maryland Prediction
My Pick: Indiana -7
My Indiana vs Maryland best bet is on Indiana to cover the spread. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Indiana vs. Maryland Odds, Spread
| Indiana Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-8 -110 | 147.5 -110o / -110u | -380 |
| Maryland Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+8 -110 | 147.5 -110o / -110u | +300 |
- Indiana vs Maryland spread: Indiana -8
- Indiana vs Maryland over/under: 147.5 points
- Indiana vs Maryland moneyline: Indiana -380, Maryland +300
Indiana vs Maryland NCAAB Betting Preview
Indiana heads into this Big Ten clash with an 11-3 overall record and a 2-1 mark in conference play, boasting excellent efficiency metrics on both ends of the floor.
On Tuesday evening, the Hoosiers travel to College Park to face a struggling 7-7 Maryland team that sits 0-3 in Big Ten action under first-year head coach Buzz Williams, desperately seeking their first conference victory.
Even with the hostile road crowd and both programs showing spotty cover rates this season, Indiana stands out as the clearly superior side. That's exactly why Evan Abrams' “Small Conference Favorites in Bad ATS Matchups” system flags this as a prime opportunity to back Indiana -7.
The “Small Conference Favorites in Bad ATS Matchups” system identifies undervalued favorites in college hoops who win consistently but have struggled against the spread, facing opponents with similar ATS struggles. The Hoosiers are 7-7 ATS with a better straight-up record, while the Terrpins are 6-8 ATS, but .500 straight up.
In conference play, where matchups are familiar and motivation runs high, the better overall team often prevails despite market skepticism caused by prior spread losses. When a strong team sits as a small favorite, it suggests the line has tightened due to mutual ATS underperformance rather than true competitive balance.
This system capitalizes on that overcorrection, backing reliable programs that win outright at a steady rate when the market perception has dipped too far, turning short favorites into profitable plays . Most importantly, this system has an all-time 2% return on investment (ROI) and an 11% ROI (15-11 record) this season.
My Pick: Indiana -7
