The Michigan Wolverines take on the TCU Horned Frogs in Fort Worth, Texas. Tip-off is set for 9 p.m. ET on ESPN2.
Michigan is favored by 7.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -345. The total is set at 157.5 points.
Here’s my Michigan vs. TCU prediction and college basketball picks for November 14, 2025.
Michigan vs TCU Prediction
My Pick: Michigan -7.5 (Play to -9)
My Michigan vs TCU best bet is on the Wolverines to cover the spread. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Michigan vs. TCU Odds
| Michigan Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7.5 -110 | 157.5 -115o / -105u | -345 |
| TCU Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7.5 -110 | 157.5 -115o / -105u | +275 |
- Michigan vs TCU spread: Michigan -7.5
- Michigan vs TCU over/under: 157.5 points
- Michigan vs TCU moneyline: Michigan -345, TCU +275
Michigan vs TCU College Basketball Betting Preview
Michigan Basketball
Michigan is fresh off a brutal offensive performance in a nail-biting win against Wake Forest. The Wolverines' offense posted 0.99 PPP in the win and shot a brutal 4-for-26 from deep.
That was the one worry with the Wolverines' jumbo lineup, featuring Yaxel Lendeborg, Morez Johnson Jr. and Aday Mara. Since Johnson and Mara do their work in the paint, it's paramount for Lendeborg to hit 3s. But he went just 1-for-7 from deep and scored just nine points against Wake.
The Wolverines might not need much shooting in this one. All they need is Mara to dominate the way he did against the Demon Deacons. The stud 7-foot-3 center scored 18 points with eight rebounds, six assists and five blocks.
Mara did that to a much smaller Wake Forest interior, forcing starting center Tre'Von Spillers into foul trouble. He could do the same thing to this TCU team.
Michigan is a very efficient offense from 2-point range, shooting a jarring 69.4% from inside the arc.
Defensively, Michigan will look to force teams to shoot from deep. While the Wolverines don't look to force turnovers, their imposing length is enough to force teams to take wild shots outside.
Ask Wake Forest, which shot 38% from 2-point range.
That'll make it tough for the smaller TCU guards to score inside against Michigan's length.
TCU Basketball
The most disappointing high-major squad in America thus far resides in Fort Worth, Texas. That's the TCU Horned Frogs, who dropped a game on opening night to New Orleans and had to battle tooth and nail to beat Lamar this week.
The Horned Frogs are facing a true identity crisis. A season ago, you knew the Horned Frogs were ready for a rock fight, ranking 33rd in defensive efficiency.
This year, TCU is just 85th in defensive efficiency.
You could argue that TCU is a bit unlucky — opponents are shooting 37% from deep against it.
So, with how streaky 3-point shooting can be, all it takes is a few bad shooting games from Horned Frogs foes to change things up.
TCU lost its starting center — Malick Diallo — to an injury only seven minutes into the year. With Diallo out, the Horned Frogs' interior is much smaller and beefier.
David Punch is a load to handle (6-foot-7, 245 pounds at the four), and Xavier Edmonds is 6-foot-8, 245 pounds at the five. Michigan has some imposing length, so TCU's smaller interior will face a tall task.
Plain and simple, TCU has to improve its shooting. Entering this matchup, it ranks 244th nationally with a 29.1% 3-point percentage. That starts and ends with starting guards Jayden Pierre and Brock Harding. Pierre, a former Providence Friar, is shooting just 28% from deep.
Harding has done well from a playmaking standpoint, averaging six assists with less than a turnover per game, but he's shooting a woeful 21% from the field and 20% from deep.
The bigs aren't big shooters, so it falls on Pierre and Harding to figure things out.
Michigan vs. TCU Betting Analysis
Laying 7.5 on the road is asking a lot, but what has TCU shown to make you think it can compete with a team like Michigan? I haven't seen anything.
The Frogs' guards are very underwhelming and they'll get totally battered by the Michigan jumbo lineup.
Plus, this feels like a Lendeborg breakout game. He was dealing with an injury, so maybe that affected his play against Wake Forest. I could see him rounding into form here.
I'm laying the points.
My Pick: Michigan -7.5 (Play to -9)
