The Minnesota Golden Gophers take on the Missouri Tigers in Columbia, MO. Tip-off is set for 8 p.m. ET on SEC Network+.
Missouri is favored by -7 points on the spread with a moneyline of -290. The total is set at 157 points.
Here’s my Minnesota vs. Missouri predictions and college basketball picks for November 12, 2025.
Minnesota vs Missouri Prediction
My Pick: Over 156.5 (Play to 158)
My Minnesota vs Missouri best bet is on the over. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Minnesota vs. Missouri Odds
| Minnesota Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7 -110 | 157 -110o / -110u | +235 |
| Missouri Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7 -110 | 157 -110o / -110u | -290 |
- Minnesota vs Missouri spread: Missouri -7
- Minnesota vs Missouri over/under: 157 points
- Minnesota vs Missouri moneyline: Minnesota +235, Missouri -290
Minnesota vs Missouri College Basketball Betting Preview
Minnesota Basketball
The beginning of the Niko Medved era is off to an inspiring start. The Gophers beat the brakes off of Alcorn State, winning by 45 points, and they also beat Gardner-Webb by 27.
How real is Minnesota? We'll find out on Wednesday.
I'm buying more stock in Minnesota than I thought I would be — at least on the offensive end. Cade Tyson is a big reason why. We know he can dominate mid-major opponents dating back to his Belmont days, but he looks so confident. Tyson is averaging 25 points per game, while shooting 61% from the field and 45% from deep.
Minnesota could have a strong interior advantage. With Missouri having less strength inside, it could be a real advantage for the beefier Jaylen Crocker-Johnson and Robert Vaihola. Crocker-Johnson has been incredible thus far, posting a double-double with 14+ rebounds in both games.
Some of my worries with Minnesota lie on the defensive end. Tyson, in particular, could get into quick foul trouble if he has to defend Mark Mitchell.
I don't have any worries about Minnesota scoring. Between the pure offensive talent on the roster and a coach in Medved (who has strong offensive DNA), I like the Gophers' chances to score.
Minnesota has an interesting group of guards, as well. Chansey Willis Jr. needs to be more of a scorer.
He showed off his bucket-getting skills last year at Western Michigan and has the talent to contribute at this level.
Sophomore guard Isaac Asuma is averaging six assists per game, and Langston Reynolds is a very physical guard who loves using angles to score.
Missouri Basketball
Missouri took out some frustrations on VMI after narrowly beating SEMO last Friday.
The Tigers enter their first high-major meeting of the year with a 3-0 record, while scoring 84+ points in each game. KenPom didn't take a liking to Missouri playing a tightly-contested game against SEMO, as the close game dropped the Tigers from 29th to 38th (and now back to 35th).
I'm not quite as high on the Tigers. The shooting issues are pretty worrisome and could lead to Missouri being a worse offense than the numbers indicate.
For one, is Anthony Robinson II suddenly a shooter, or is this a hot stretch? He went 4-for-5 from deep against Howard, but he went 1-for-2 from downtown in his first two games.
Robinson being a shooter would be a nice boost since Mitchell and Sebastian Mack are non-shooters.
Last year, Missouri had a top-10 offense in the sport with shaky guard shooting, but Caleb Grill made up for the lack of shotmaking by Robinson and Tony Perkins. I'm not sure this year's Missouri team has a Grill-type guy to heat up and be a shooter.
Mitchell is a terrific player, but he's a different type of athlete than mid-major squads have. He totally dominated the buy-games. However, it could be tougher to dominate a Big Ten foe in the same fashion.
I'm also curious to see just how good Missouri is on the interior. Luke Northweather and Jevon Porter started at the four and five, respectively. I wonder if Mitchell sees more time at the four, though. Both Northweather and Porter are more floor stretchers than rim-protecting bigs.
Minnesota vs. Missouri Betting Analysis
Missouri has a clear advantage in the guard department, but I like the Gophers' bigs more.
I view this as more of an offensive showdown. Minnesota could make a living score inside, while Missouri can attack matchups, with Mitchell dominating Tyson en route to a big scoring game.
Plus, Missouri has a lot of players who draw fouls. The best thing for an over is scoring with the clock stopped.
With the total sitting at 156.5, I like it to 158.
My Pick: Over 156.5 (Play to 158)
