College Basketball Best Bets, Predictions: 2 ASUN Tournament Picks, Including Bellarmine vs. North Florida
Photo by Mitchell Layton/Getty Images. Pictured: ASUN basketball logo
The college basketball regular season will continue through this upcoming Sunday, but Monday officially begins conference tournament season.
The ASUN will be the first league to tip-off, as Florida Gulf Coast takes on Queens University and Bellarmine squares off against North Florida in the first round of the event.
Three Man Weave’s Ky McKeon and Matt Cox have a best bet for each game below to help you start off the conference tournaments with a bang.
So, dive in now to get the top NCAAB best bets and predictions for Monday’s two ASUN Tournament games.
Monday’s Three Man Weave ASUN Tournament NCAAB Best Bets
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that Ky and Matt are targeting from Monday’s slate of games. Click the team logos for one the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
|Specific bet recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NCAAB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.|
Florida Gulf Coast vs. Queens University
By Ky McKeon
Tonight’s ASUN game is at a neutral site at Kennesaw. The market seemed to figure this out this morning when FGCU was bet down from an inexplicable high line of +4 at certain books.
No home court value is a good thing for FGCU, as ASUN home teams have been among the most profitable bets in the country this season. Per KenPom, home teams have won outright just 59.5% of the time in conference play.
Conference tournaments offer a chance to hit the reset button on a disappointing league performance. FGCU tore through its non-conference schedule (won at USC) and looked to be the class of the ASUN heading into January.
Instead, the Eagles faltered and finished just 7-11.
The talent and coaching hasn’t changed. This is still an extremely experienced bunch with all-league caliber talent and a coach in Pat Chambers who knows how to win.
FGCU led Queens by as many as 12 points in their only meeting this season. The Eagles let the Royals off the hook at the end of the game in front of a raucous Queens crowd, but expect them to finish the job tonight.
FGCU should have no trouble scoring on a Queens defense that ranks as one of the worst in the ASUN. The Royals are among the worst pick-and-roll defenses in the country, and that’s the Eagles’ bread and butter.
Experience and talent wins out tonight in Kennesaw, but we’ll happily take the two extra points.
Pick: FGCU +2.5 (Play to +2)
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Bellarmine vs. North Florida
By Matt Cox
An important note on tonight’s opening-round ASUN conference tournament tilt between Bellarmine and North Florida.
Oddly enough, there was initial confusion with the ASUN conference tournament schedule. Depending on what odds board you’re using or where you reference game locations, know that this game will be played at Liberty, a true neutral-site venue.
On the surface, the prevailing situational edge in this matchup is “immediate revenge,” as Bellarmine and North Florida just played on Friday in Jacksonville. The home Ospreys caught fire from long distance, fueling a comfortable 12-point win over the Knights.
Prevailing wisdom may lead one to go against that grain in the rematch. The early money seems to agree, as the +4 opening line was quickly bet down to +3.
However, there’s no slam dunk data system which proves blind betting this “immediate revenge” spot is a guaranteed cash cow.
Also, North Florida found itself in the same situation earlier this season against its crosstown rival Jacksonville and squashed the same angle many are betting into today.
Against a feisty Dolphins team, the Ospreys swept JU in a back-to-back series with only one day in between games (covered both games, too).
UNF’s ability to compress Bellarmine’s 3-point weapon gives it a sustainable edge in this rematch, which should override the aforementioned situational immediate revenge angle.
At the cheaper price, take the Ospreys at -3.
Pick: North Florida -3
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