The Oakland Golden Grizzlies take on the UCF Knights in Orlando, FL. Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
UCF is favored by -12.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -950. The total is set at 160.5 points.
Here’s our Oakland vs. UCF predictions and college basketball picks for November 17, 2025.
Oakland vs UCF Prediction
Our Pick: Oakland +12.5
Our Oakland vs UCF best bet is on the Golden Grizzlies to cover the spread. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Oakland vs. UCF Odds
| Oakland Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+12.5 -110 | 160.5 -110o / -110u | +625 |
| UCF Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-12.5 -110 | 160.5 -110o / -110u | -950 |
- Oakland vs UCF spread: UCF -12.5
- Oakland vs UCF over/under: 160.5 points
- Oakland vs UCF moneyline: Oakland +625, UCF -950
Oakland vs UCF College Basketball Betting Preview
Oakland Basketball
Oakland’s trip to Orlando is its fourth road game in five outings, the latest stop in a brutally difficult early-season schedule.
The Golden Grizzlies enter at 1-3, though that record is heavily shaped by who they’ve played. Before their home-opening win over NAIA opponent Defiance College, Oakland went on the road to face No. 7 Michigan and back-to-back No. 1 teams in Purdue and Houston.
They were blown out by Michigan and Houston, but their 10-point loss to Purdue — 87-77 — showed their ability to hang around late despite the mismatch.
Fifth-year forward Tuburu Naivalurua, the Horizon League’s Preseason Player of the Year, continues to anchor the team through this early gauntlet.
UCF Basketball
UCF returns to Orlando after an impressive 86-74 win at Texas A&M, a game defined by a furious second-half surge. The Knights erased a 14-point deficit by hitting 13 of their final 18 shots, showcasing the kind of shot-making that can bury opponents in a hurry.
Forward Jordan Burks led the charge with 21 points, putting together a flawless second half in which he went 6-for-6 from the field, 4-for-4 from deep and 2-for-2 from the line. Carmelo Pacheco added another spark from the perimeter, finishing 5-for-6 from 3 for 15 points.
Last season, UCF went 20-17 overall and 13-5 at home, but it allowed opponents to score 80.4 points per game and shoot 45% from the field, a reminder that its offense often has to carry the load.
Oakland vs. UCF Betting Analysis
This matchup fits neatly into Evan Abrams’ “Betting The Bad” system, which identifies situations where teams coming off decisive losses or extended ATS struggles become undervalued by the market.
Oakland has been beaten soundly multiple times, and public perception has cratered as a result. When that happens, sportsbooks tend to inflate the line too far, pricing a team at its absolute floor.
History shows that effort and variance often stabilize in these spots, allowing underdogs to outperform expectations even if they aren’t close to winning outright.
With UCF’s defense still vulnerable and Oakland no longer facing a top-five powerhouse, the spread becomes the great equalizer.
My Pick: Oakland +12.5
