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The Oklahoma State Cowboys take on the Texas A&M Aggies in College Station, Texas. Tip-off is set for 8 p.m. ET on SEC Network+.
Texas A&M is favored by -7.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -305. The total is set at 177.5 points.
Here’s my Oklahoma State vs. Texas A&M prediction and college basketball picks for November 12, 2026.
Oklahoma State vs Texas A&M Prediction
Pick: Over 177.5Â (Play to 179.5)
My Oklahoma State vs Texas A&M best bet is on the over. Be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page and download the Action Network app for the latest picks and analysis.
Oklahoma State vs Texas A&M Odds
| Oklahoma State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7.5 -115 | 177.5 -110o / -110u | +245 |
| Texas A&M Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7.5 -105 | 177.5 -110o / -110u | -305 |
- Oklahoma State vs Texas A&M spread: Texas A&M -7.5 (-105), Oklahoma State +7.5 (-115)
- Oklahoma State vs Texas A&M over/under: 177.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Oklahoma State vs Texas A&M moneyline: Oklahoma State +245, Texas A&M -305
Oklahoma State vs Texas A&M College Basketball Preview
Oklahoma State Basketball
The Oklahoma State Cowboys are 2-0 to start the season with a 31-point win over Incarnate Word and a 50-point win against a strong Queens team.
Cowboys head coach Steve Lutz runs an exciting brand of basketball — they play fast (12th in adjusted tempo). Plus, the Cowboys are shooting more 3s, up from 35% of their shots last season to 40% this campaign.
They don't have a bona fide "star," but Oklahoma State is deep. The Cowboys can play 12 reliable players, and the current leading scorer is 6-foot-11 forward Andrija Grbovic, at 13.5 points per game.
Lutz opted to play a jumbo shooter lineup, pairing Grbovic with wing Jordan Burks. Both can shoot close to 40% from 3, which will help spread the floor for big man Julius Halaifonua.
In Lutz's first season, Oklahoma State was 148th in offensive efficiency and 72nd in defensive efficiency. Last season, it jumped to 48th in offensive efficiency and fell to 158th in defensive efficiency.
Can Lutz even things out in 2026-27? I don't think this team has more offensive talent, but it has more willing passers and more roster balance.
Two of the key cogs in that balance are Kashie Natt and Jacob Walker, two Sam Houston imports. Natt is one of the most athletic players in the country and posted 8.2 rebounds per game from the guard spot last season. Walker has struggled to find his scoring touch, but he's contributing to winning with his 8.5 assists per game.
Texas A&M Basketball
Bucky McMillan was a home-run hire for Texas A&M, and it paid off immediately. The Aggies made the NCAA Tournament and won a game in the event in his first season, and the 2026-27 roster blows last season's out of the water from a talent standpoint.
McMillan's fun style is coined "Bucky Ball." That style includes full-court pressure, leading to the Aggies playing at one of the fastest tempos and taking 3s on over 45% of their shots last season.
It takes a lot of buy-in to play Bucky Ball. Pressuring for a whole game isn't for everyone, but I thought he brought in the right players to fit his system.
The biggest add was P.J. Haggerty, a former All-American during his time at Memphis. He averaged 21+ points per game over the last three seasons at three different schools (Tulsa, Memphis, Kansas State). He'll likely make it a fourth playing in such an offense-friendly system.
Haggerty was awesome at Memphis, which played a similar style to Texas A&M.
Jordan Pope pairs with Haggerty. The former Texas guard is shooting 52% from the field thus far and is over 37% from 3 in his career.
Given the style, it wouldn't make sense for McMillan to have a plodding big. He needs athletic bigs, or at least ones who can run the floor. The Aggies still start three players 6-foot-9 or taller — wing Mackenzie Mgbako, Jalen Shelley and Cade Phillips.
Shelley has provided immeasurable value for A&M, defending multiple positions and leading the team with nine rebounds per game.
Oklahoma State vs. Texas A&M Pick, Betting Analysis
The total is about as high as you'll see in college basketball, sitting at 177.5. It's fair since both teams are top-15 in adjusted tempo.
I'm rolling with the over here. The two teams are plenty comfortable playing in the 90-point range, and if one of them cracks 100, it wouldn't shock me.
KenPom has Texas A&M and Oklahoma State sitting in the top 40 in defensive efficiency, and I'm not sure I buy that. The Aggies should have a solid defense, but they lack a shot-stopper if the Oklahoma State guards beat the press.
I also don't see the vision of Oklahoma State being even a top-50 defense. Some of the pieces, like Grbovic and Burks, aren't the caliber of defenders that should help the Cowboys' defense be top-40 level.
Give me the over. I expect a lot of 3s and possessions.
Pick: Over 177.5 (Play to 179.5)
