The Texas A&M Aggies take on the Alabama Crimson Tide in Tuscaloosa, AL. Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET on SEC Network.
Alabama is favored by 7 points on the spread with a moneyline of -340. The total is set at 178.5 points.
Here’s my Texas A&M vs. Alabama predictions and college basketball picks for February 4, 2026.
Texas A&M vs Alabama Prediction
My Pick: Alabama -7
My Texas A&M vs Alabama best bet is on the Crimson Tide to cover the spread. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Texas A&M vs. Alabama Odds
| Texas A&M Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7 -110 | 178.5 -110o / -110u | +270 |
| Alabama Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7 -110 | 178.5 -110o / -110u | -340 |
- Texas A&M vs Alabama spread: Alabama -7
- Texas A&M vs Alabama over/under: 178.5 points
- Texas A&M vs Alabama moneyline: Texas A&M +270, Alabama -340
Texas A&M vs Alabama College Basketball Betting Preview
Texas A&M Basketball
Texas A&M is absolutely rolling. The Aggies haven't lost in regulation since Nov. 14, going 15-2 over that span (the only two losses came in overtime) and racing out to 7-1 record in SEC play, good for sole possession of first place.
Context around that lead matters: Per both KenPom and Bart Torvik, Texas A&M has faced the weakest SEC strength of schedule to date. The bigger tests of Bucky McMillan’s team are still to come.
At this point, though, the team is playing quite well on both ends. The Aggies are thriving in their version of “Bucky Ball”: up-tempo, aggressive and relentless. They come in waves, ranking 15th nationally in bench minutes, enabling them to consistently pressure the ball and speed up foes.
That defensive approach feeds directly into an offense that’s been ruthlessly efficient. Texas A&M is the best shooting team in the SEC, leading the conference in both 3-point percentage and free-throw percentage, a lethal combination when paired with pace.
The spacing is a direct result of having many perimeter weapons. Ruben Dominguez, Rylan Griffen and Pop Isaacs are all legitimate snipers, while Zach Clemence pulls bigs away from the rim and keeps driving lanes clean. That shooting gravity opens the floor for a balanced attack.
Rashaun Agee is a powerful paint force, but the Aggies don’t rely on one scorer — big nights can come from Marcus Hill, Isaacs, Griffen or Jacari Lane, depending on the matchup.
Lately, the rotation has added another edge with the increased role of Ali Dibba, a physical, disruptive presence who fits perfectly with the Aggies’ pressure-based identity. He adds to the exceptional depth here, and Texas A&M has a chance to prove itself as a legitimate SEC title threat over the next couple of weeks.
Alabama Basketball
Alabama looks exactly like you’d expect a Nate Oats team to look: fast, potent and volatile. Alabama is playing at a blistering pace, ranking fourth nationally in tempo, and it continues to fire from deep at one of the highest rates in the country, sitting third nationally in 3-point attempt rate.
When the shots are falling, the Tide can overwhelm opponents in a matter of minutes.
The problem, once again, is on the defensive end. Alabama’s defense has been flimsy all season, and the underlying numbers are concerning.
The Tide sit outside the top 300 nationally in both turnover rate and defensive rebounding rate, a brutal combination. In SEC play, they rank last in forced turnover rate and just 12th in defensive rebounding, allowing opponents to get clean looks and second chances far too easily.
That leakage puts an outsized burden on the offense – specifically the backcourt. Labaron Philon Jr. has emerged as a likely All-American, a point guard who can get wherever he wants on the floor and bend coverage with ease.
Aden Holloway remains a lethal shooter off the catch or the bounce, while Latrell Wrightsell and Amari Allen provide real two-way impact.
Off the bench, Houston Mallette brings energy and toughness, and Jalil Bethea offers high-upside scoring punch (though his role is now minimal).
The hope was that G-League veteran Charles Bediako would solidify the interior defense, but Florida torched Alabama for an outrageous 72 paint points on Sunday. Aiden Sherrell and Taylor Bol Bowen have size and skill, but neither consistently provides the physical resistance Alabama needs inside.
Alabama is winning the 3-point math, but it struggles with shot volume, which makes its results highly volatile.
Texas A&M vs. Alabama Betting Analysis
Fading Texas A&M is a dangerous move right now. The Aggies have covered seven straight games, soaring to the top of the SEC standings in the process. Bucky Ball should be plenty comfortable playing against up-tempo Alabama, and this game could push 80 possessions – a rarity in power conference play.
And yet, I'm going to fade the Aggies. They have soared in value, up 25 spots in KenPom since the calendar flipped to 2026.
Some of that is due to positive variance in 3-point shooting: The Aggies lead the SEC in 3-point percentage offense, while ranking fourth in 3-point percentage defense (opponents shooting 29.4% from 3 in league play). Against Alabama’s arsenal of long-range weapons, Texas A&M could be susceptible to a downpour from deep.
Both teams are coming off a 77-possession clash, and with two of the top 12 teams in the country in fastest possession length, another track meet is likely. More possessions also help the favorite, giving the talented Tide more chances to extend its margin against the upstart Aggies.
The most important number to watch is Alabama’s turnovers. The Tide have been elite in preventing miscues all year, ranking eighth nationally in that category, per KenPom. But in their blowout loss at Florida, they coughed it up 18 times. If they can handle Texas A&M’s pressure, this game could swing heavily towards the Tide.
Given the pace, spot and matchup angles, I'll lay up to -7 with the Tide. The Aggies have been dazzling lately, but I think the mojo runs out at Coleman Coliseum.
My Pick: Alabama -7
