The Texas Longhorns take on the Oklahoma Sooners in Norman, OK. Tip-off is set for 2 p.m. ET on ESPN2.
Oklahoma is favored by 1 point on the spread with a moneyline of -110. The total is set at 157.5 points.
Here’s my Texas vs. Oklahoma predictions and college basketball picks for January 31, 2026.
Texas vs Oklahoma Prediction
My Pick: Texas ML -110
My Texas vs Oklahoma best bet is on the Longhorns to win outright. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Texas vs. Oklahoma Odds
| Texas Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1 -115 | 157.5 -110 / -110 | -110 |
| Oklahoma Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1 -105 | 157.5 -110 / -110 | -110 |
- Texas vs Oklahoma spread: Oklahoma -1
- Texas vs Oklahoma over/under: 157.5 points
- Texas vs Oklahoma moneyline: Texas -110, Oklahoma -110
Texas vs Oklahoma College Basketball Betting Preview
Texas Basketball
Don’t be fooled by its 12-9 record. This Texas team is NCAA Tournament-caliber in year one under coach Sean Miller. Of the nine losses, six are Quad 1, and the three others came by four points or fewer. Plus, the Longhorns own three Quad 1 wins (at Alabama, vs. Vanderbilt, vs. NC State) and check in at 35th on KenPom.
Miller has this group ranked seventh nationally in offensive efficiency, per KenPom. On defense, however, the Longhorns sit outside the top 100 in efficiency, and fouling has been a huge issue. Seton Hall is the only power-conference team with a higher free-throw rate allowed.
Offensively, this team has been elite at getting to the free-throw line, ranking top-five nationally. Big man Matas Vokietaitis is the best player in the country at earning trips to the free-throw stripe. The Longhorns also prioritize creating second-chance opportunities, as this group ranks 18th in offensive rebounding percentage.
Dailyn Swain has been on a roll lately and is in the midst of a true year three breakout. Swain has scored 26 or more points in three straight games and looks like a first-round caliber NBA wing.
With Swain and Vokietaitis getting plenty of help offensively from the backcourt of Jordan Pope and Tramon Mark — plus the sharpshooting of Camden Heide — this is a very talented team that's difficult to guard.
The losses really boil down to this team’s fouling issues, its surprising inability to force turnovers (bottom-50 nationally) and the lack of rim protection (last in the SEC in block rate).
Oklahoma Basketball
Porter Moser’s seat is heating up, as the Sooners have dropped seven straight games and now sit at 11-10 on the season.
That being said, Oklahoma is also a victim of how stacked the SEC is. Somebody has to lose the games. Moser’s group should've beaten Missouri on the road, but two buzzer beaters by the Tigers in regulation and overtime led to a one-point loss. The Sooners followed that up with a four-point home defeat to Arkansas.
The Sooners check in at 61st on KenPom, with the 44th-ranked offense but the 124th-ranked defense.
Oklahoma has a really strong top four players in Nijel Pack, Xzayvier Brown, Derrion Reid and Tae Davis. The problem, however, is that the Sooners get very little production outside of those four.
The best metric for this Oklahoma team is that it's 35th nationally in turnover percentage. However, it's somewhat misleading because it's front-loaded from strong play in the non-conference. The Sooners rank 13th in the league during SEC play.
Bottom line, this team is good but not great offensively, as the Sooners can look stagnant against better competition. Plus, Moser-coached teams are typically much stronger defensively, making this his worst defense dating back to 2015.
Texas vs. Oklahoma Betting Analysis
Oklahoma is 1-3 at home in SEC play, and other than a 17-point loss to Florida, it's been competitive and played fairly well in those opportunities.
Against a rival team that's struggled defensively, and while riding this massive losing streak, the spot sets up well for a bounce-back performance by the Sooners.
However, I'm buying Texas as a legitimately good team, and I think this matchup sets up nicely for the Longhorns. Vokietaitis will be a major issue on the interior, and I don't trust Pack and Brown to guard Pope and Mark well enough off the bounce.
Also, Reid and Davis are matchup problems for most teams as 6-foot-8 wings who can put the ball on the floor and attack. Miller can counter by deploying Swain, Mark and Chendall Weaver, who I think can do a solid job defensively.
I'll take the Longhorns outright on the road.
My Pick: Texas ML -110
